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April 19, 2003
A world context for success in Iraq
There seems to be little doubt that the war in Iraq was about much more than the liberation of a people - it set up a dilemma for the world's nations to consider, and the conclusions reached will reshape the politics of all nations for decades. John Lloyd writes in the Italian newspaper Il Riformista about the choice of the world collectively - which trumps, the sovereignty of nations, or the individual rights of people? His immediate focus is the manner in which Tony Blair has assessed and resolved the question in his own mind, and in his leadership, but he also deals with it on a larger ground. In a very different piece which doesn't even touch on Iraq, Theodore Dalrymple explores the transition of colonial Africa into a range of dictatorships, each more vicious than the last. Dalrymple lived in Rhodesia before it became Mugabe's Zimbabwe, and has lived elsewhere in Africa as well. It is an excellent article on several levels, but what struck me - given the current world political situation - was his discussion of how the culture of tribal Africa intertwines with the colonial and Western emphasis on education and equality as the means of success, to create a truly horrific system that is a fertile ground for the rise of despots. Horrific, that is, in the eyes of Westerners - and eventually in the lives of the Africans themselves. It caused me to think on the tribal connections and cultural antecedents in operation in Iraq and Afghanistan, and how those will play out in an effort to bring some form of democracy - a recognition of individual rights - to both countries. I often hear of how Germany and Japan were reshaped, reformed to relatively benign democracies after WWII; they're held up as examples of what can be done now in the Middle East. But to what extent are the two situations compatible? As a researcher, I know that replicating an experiment involves more than replicating the process - you also have to use the same materials in the same environment or context to be sure of a similar outcome, and that's if you're sure the success of the first experiment was due to the process, not to unknown intervening variables. What I know about the current situation is that we do not have similar populations. We do not have a similar environment. And we cannot even have a similar process, because of the many intervening variables such as ongoing terrorist activities, a spreading Muslim radicalism, an active anti-war movement that would be happy to spike success in Iraq, other countries in the region that we are caught between placating and invading, and a vociferously anti-American thread running through most every country. I think the success in Iraq is a success on several levels. But the post-war era is if anything more delicate and less clear-cut than the pre-war era, where the question at hand was fairly straight-forward - to invade or not? I highly recommend reading both Lloyd and Dalrymple, and thinking on what is and could happen in light of political realities both current and past. Ultimately the decisions about how the countries are run must lie with the people of those countries, but we have to understand how Western overlays might play out in such a different culture as we try to assist in rebuilding the countries. One of Dalrymple's points is that one of the most admirable qualities in the Africans he knows - their absolute caring for family - plays out in a very damaging way politically. So what to do? It comes back to Lloyd's discussion of sovereignty vs individual rights, and to the play of pragmatism and morality in intervening when things go bad. [Thanks to Meryl Yourish for the link to Lloyd's article on Harry's Place; since Lloyd's article was originally published in Italian, Harry posts the full article in English, with permission of the author. This post cross-posted on cut on the bias.] Posted By susanna cornett at April 19, 2003 02:01 PM | TrackBackComments
An interesting comment and while I agree that, scientifically at least, "replicating an experiment involves more than replicating the process", I also believe the writer is losing track of the main thing - the democratzation process is not a scientific investigation into a non-human proccess. It is outcome directed - that is it is working towards a goal, not dispassionately observing some static process for its inherent qualities. Adjustments can and will be made along the process, incrementally moving toward the desired outcome. Anyone who has ever completed a home project knows that while it may not yield an absolutely perfect result - outcome oriented processes do work. So I see the hypothesis as flawed. If there is a question to be asked, and if the author wants to ask it, the question to be asked is "is the desire of people to be free and determine their own destiny a universal one or is it only a western value?" The successes of democracies worldwide in the immediate past century would certainly indicate it is a universal desire. Indeed, to claim otherwise is to racistly insist that peoples who do not possess this desire are somehow inferior. -Murrel Posted by: Murrel at April 19, 2003 05:15 PMI disagree that the question to be asked here is the one you posit. My point, as author of this opinion post, is that we can't expect things in Iraq or Afghanistan to track the same way they did in Germany or Japan simply because it's Western countries involved in a liberation of a country from brutal rule. There are complexities of culture and tradition in those countries that are substantially different from Germany's and Japan's. I'm sure historians of G & J could point out great differences in the way democratic ideals interacted with those cultures too. And I'm hardly suggesting that any human endeavor has the controllability of a scientific experiment in a lab - I know better. But some are presenting Germany and Japan as final proof that similar govts can evolve in Iraq and Afghanistan. I'm saying - it's unlikely. I'm not quite sure how you suddenly lept to "racism". There are various forms of democracies that are experiencing various levels of success throughout the world, and I'm not "claim[ing]" otherwise nor suggesting in any way that any ethnic or racial group doesn't want self-determination (or individuals, for that matter - I don't look at race as a monolithic thing). All I'm saying is, look at how the culture of one African country caused problems when western means of "getting ahead" were encouraged. It's not meant as a derogation of the country's culture or the western means. It rather points to likelihood of unintended consequences in Iraq and Afghanistan as the US and its allies work with the people and governments there, and we need to be aware of that potential so the eventual outcome is a net gain for the people. Any association with racism is emerging from your own biased view. Posted by: susanna at April 19, 2003 05:38 PMI really liked the original post, and the links. Excellent pieces, much to think about there. Posted by: DSmith at April 19, 2003 06:52 PMSusanna Thank you for this post. Especially the piece by John Lloyd. I knew John 30 years ago, when he was a journalist covering technology, telecoms etc for the Financial Times. No-one works for the FT unless they are good. He was accurate, in touch. He went on to be editor of the New Statesman, the leading left-wing weekly in the UK. After he left, he carried on as a correspondent for the NS. But over Iraq, he "walked away" from the left-wing view, and wrote a vitriolic column explaining why the left-wing had totally lost the plot. Somewhere on Command-Post his article was linked - about 10 days ago. May I recommend everyone to GO BACK to Susanna's post, and follow the link to John Lloyd's latest article. Read it slowly. John is well-known in international journalism - and writes well. His new piece is an excellent overview of the state of UK politics, and attitudes to the Iraq conflict. Again - thank you Susanna. It is important that we here in the UK should read US writers. Likewise, Americans should read the kind of stuff John Lloyd writes. Posted by: JohninLondon at April 19, 2003 10:24 PMThanks on a very thought provoking post. John Llloyd's piece is definitely worth reading by all especially since it does an excellent job of framing of what I think is the key issue of the war. The second article, though, left me a little flat. While the author made some inciteful and interesting observations, I was very disappointed that at the end he came to the conclusion that "Good intentions are certainly no guarantee of good results." What am I supposed to make of that? Should I not try because things might not work out? Should I not bother tyring to be a good parent because my child might turn out bad, anyway? Rather, some kind of attempt to recommend alternatives would have been more appreciated. Posted by: Joe D. at April 20, 2003 07:59 PMPost a comment
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