![]() |
|
August 31, 2003
Judge Roy
Probably missed in all the furor over the 10 commandments display in Alabama is the fact that high-profile evangelical Christians disagree on Judge Moore's stand against the federal courts. James Dobson of "Focus on the Family" is fully supportive of Moore's stand, while Jay Sekulow, prominent Christian lawyer; Richard Land, Southern Baptist Ethics and Religious Liberty Commission president; and Pat Robertson (!) oppose Moore's stand. Dobson even mentioned Land by name, saying that Land is a "great friend and I agree with him on almost everything. I just think he's making a mistake here." Land goes further to offer some examples where Moore's stand would be harmful to the evangelical Christian movement. "Would we have supported the Florida Supreme Court in defying the U.S. Supreme Court's ruling and continuing with yet another recount effort [in the 2000 presidential election] while the Electoral College was thrown into crisis by having perhaps two sets of electors from Florida and no agreed upon president?" Land asked. Interesting, but not likely widely reported. August 30, 2003
The Opinion On The Ten Commandments Decision
For those who are interested, the legal opinion for Glassroth v. Moore can be found here in PDF format. UPDATE: I read the opinion and Chief Justice Moore really screwed the pooch. His defense contradicted his stated intention when he unveiled the monument and he made the mistake of believing himself above the law, which is made abundantly clear at the end of the opinion. He doesn't even seem to understand that the first amendment applies to the states via the 14th amendment. In his world each state could have its own religion and if you happen to be a Jew or a Muslim or an atheist living in a Christian state, you'd have no recourse at the federal level. You'd be treated like a second-class citizen and your only recourse would be to move to a friendlier state. Read the opinion. There are some genuine howlers in there. Good News All Around!
Note that this is a cross-post. ----------------- Paying a bit more for gas lately, hmmm? Well, you should love this commentary from AME in the United Arab Emirates: This week the Saudi Oil Minister Ali Al Naimi lands in Moscow to sign a historic energy pact and to forge a new relationship with the kingdom’s main rival as top oil producer.Of course, we're all hoping for a return to the petroeconomic conditions of the mid-1970s. But wait ... the outlook gets even better: For readers of this column who have business interests in the Middle East, and that is the AME Info target audience, this is very good news. The late 1970s were a golden age in the Middle East and we are seeing a repetition of this scenario.So are the happy hopes of AME and its Editor-in-Chief, Peter J. Cooper. Interested in Mr. Cooper? Here's his AME bio: Peter J. Cooper was the launch editor of Gulf Business magazine in 1996, and is an award-winning British financial journalist with 15 years' experience. He returned briefly to the UK last year to complete his first book, Building Relationships, The History of Bovis 1885-2000. An Oxford graduate, Cooper studied politics and economics with William Hague, now leader of HM Opposition. He was also a trainee in the European Commission in Brussels as a specialist in the economics of developing countries, and speaks French and some German. August 29, 2003
On Separation Of Church And State
The other day I was thinking it's nice that the biggest controversies in this country on church and state involve displays of the Ten Commandments. Even so, one of Glenn's readers has a great statement on the matter: I have to wonder which Founding Fathers Ben Gibbons thinks were so determined to see Christianity sewn into the very fabric of our government and society.I do think the monument in Alabama should be removed simply because it's a monument. I have no problem with celebratory deism, such as a national motto of "In God We Trust" or having "under God" in the Pledge, but a monument tips the pale. A simple plaque would be OK, but the judge is using this as a campaign issue and wouldn't be satisfied with that. Another reason judges shouldn't be elected, but appointed instead. I also wonder if the judge has really thought this through. If he pushes this too far he could accomplish the exact opposite of his stated intention: he could end up with a SCOTUS ruling that bans all religious displays in public places, including their own PLAQUE of the Ten Commandments. Of course, he would point to that as further proof that this is a "godless" country when he created the problem in the first place. On the upside he would probably get more votes. See comment above about elected judges. August 27, 2003
No Ordinary Day
[When you are done reading this, please go here]
With the second anniversary of the Sept. 11 attacks only three weeks away, TV networks have planned nearly no special programming to commemorate the horrible events of that day.
We do not need another slo-motion replay of those enormous blades of steel crashing into the World Trade Center, for that image is surely burned on the retinas of every single person who was witness, whether physically or through the television. We do not have to play a repeat of that day's events in order to commemerate the lives lost and the lives ruined. There are so many other things that could be said and most important of those things is how we are rebuilding; our lives, our spirits, America. We can do nothing worse than to make our enemies think that 9/11 has become an afterthought and two years later we are complacent and forgetful and perhaps we need another wake up call. No, we should be showing progress while still paying tribute to those left behind. The coverage of 9/11/03 should show the babies of the widows of 9/11, carrying on the spirit and personalities of their fathers. It should show the plans for the rebirth of the site of the World Trade Center, the gardens that will spring to life there, the entries for the memorial design contest. There should be investigative pieces on how far we've come in the War on Terror, all the terrorists who had their hands in that day who have been captured, all the cells that have been broken up. There should be a big reminder flashing across the screen at one point that there have been no terrorist attacks on American soil since that day. How are the firemen who walked out of the burning rubble coping? What about the people who made it down the stairwell and out into the open air and safety? Yes, there should be images of that day shown, perhaps a short montage just to jar our memories and wake whatever fight that was in our souls that has since gone to sleep. I want to remember. I never want to lose that memory of the smoky sky above Manhattan that I viewed from my office window. I want to remember Pete Ganci's wake and the sharpshooters atop my neighbor's house during the memorial service for Claude Richards, I want to remember the haunted look in my firefighter cousin's eyes and the look of despair on my father's face. I want to remember the chilling feeling of looking at a sky free of jumbo jets for days on end and the quiet, the unnerving quiet, that made those days after so surreal and chilling. I need to remember these things because to forget would be to spit in the face of every single person who died that day. Relive those events, if only for a moment. There are a million places to look in case you have forgotten, in case you turn on your television on September 11, 2003, hoping for something to help you remember that day, to live through it again just to not forget. We cannot move on because we are still there. There are 12,000 body parts yet to be identified. There are people still in mourning, people who will never, ever get over seeing their loved one's name on this list. There are still people who want us dead, animals who would stop at nothing to see that the events of 9/11 are repeated, maybe somewhere else. Maybe your own backyard this time.
I will never forget. And I will do my best to make sure no one else does either because, obviously, the media has decided to just blow this day off in favor of ratings and advertising dollars. For starters, you can go here and read the personal accounts I collected one year ago, for a project alled No Ordinary Day. There are more here. They will break your heart, they will make you cry and most of all, they will make you remember. Which you damn well better do. I'd like to continue with the project I started last year. If all the voices gather together, we will never forget. I'm going to change the name of the project from No Ordinary Day to Voices. I will add to the voices as you wish; memories, memorials, a few sentences a lengthy essay. Unlike last year, it doesn't have to be about your memories of that day, though it could be. Just use your voice so we don't forget. If we speak loud enough, if there are enough of us, we can become a symphony of shouts and tears and whispered pain, so we can always be heard and never, ever forget. You can add your comments here and I will transfer them to the project, or you can add them to the comments there, or you can email them to me. August 26, 2003
The "I Have A Dream" Speech
Reason: Dream Interpretation: The March On Washington's enduring legacy. It's also amazing that it took 100 years to realize the potential of the 14th and 15th amendments. I can't imagine what life must have been like living under the lash of state power when the federal government had the power to fix it all along. That's why you'll never hear me bleating on about "states' rights" and the like: states have no rights, only people do. States have powers, which were being abused in hideous fashion. Up to that time our form of government, federalism, had failed us. By failing to realize the potential of the 14th and 15th amendments several generations of black people had been systematically prevented from reaching their potential. It is a national shame but one we are rectifying with each passing year. The Civil Rights Act of 1964 was not without its own failings, mostly due to abuse of the Interstate Commerce Clause, but it seems minor compared to the injustice that act rectified. It's also heartening to see John Lewis, at the end of the excerpt, acknowledge the progress that's been made. The King speech also lent momentum to two of the most consequential pieces of civil rights legislation in American history, the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and the Voting Rights Act of 1965. The Civil Rights Act outlawed state-sanctioned and enforced racial discrimination in the form of Jim Crow laws. For example, it allowed blacks to come down out of that theatre balcony in Bristol Virginia. The Voting Rights Act insured that Southern blacks who were being systematically denied the franchise by corrupt voter registration officials would have access to the ballot box.Click below to see the entire "I Have A Dream" speech. I dare you not to be moved by it. "I Have A Dream" Five score years ago, a great American, in whose symbolic shadow we stand signed the Emancipation Proclamation. This momentous decree came as a great beacon light of hope to millions of Negro slaves who had been seared in the flames of withering injustice. It came as a joyous daybreak to end the long night of captivity. But one hundred years later, we must face the tragic fact that the Negro is still not free. One hundred years later, the life of the Negro is still sadly crippled by the manacles of segregation and the chains of discrimination. One hundred years later, the Negro lives on a lonely island of poverty in the midst of a vast ocean of material prosperity. One hundred years later, the Negro is still languishing in the corners of American society and finds himself an exile in his own land. So we have come here today to dramatize an appalling condition. In a sense we have come to our nation's capital to cash a check. When the architects of our republic wrote the magnificent words of the Constitution and the Declaration of Independence, they were signing a promissory note to which every American was to fall heir. This note was a promise that all men would be guaranteed the inalienable rights of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness. It is obvious today that America has defaulted on this promissory note insofar as her citizens of color are concerned. Instead of honoring this sacred obligation, America has given the Negro people a bad check which has come back marked "insufficient funds." But we refuse to believe that the bank of justice is bankrupt. We refuse to believe that there are insufficient funds in the great vaults of opportunity of this nation. So we have come to cash this check -- a check that will give us upon demand the riches of freedom and the security of justice. We have also come to this hallowed spot to remind America of the fierce urgency of now. This is no time to engage in the luxury of cooling off or to take the tranquilizing drug of gradualism. Now is the time to rise from the dark and desolate valley of segregation to the sunlit path of racial justice. Now is the time to open the doors of opportunity to all of God's children. Now is the time to lift our nation from the quicksands of racial injustice to the solid rock of brotherhood. It would be fatal for the nation to overlook the urgency of the moment and to underestimate the determination of the Negro. This sweltering summer of the Negro's legitimate discontent will not pass until there is an invigorating autumn of freedom and equality. Nineteen sixty-three is not an end, but a beginning. Those who hope that the Negro needed to blow off steam and will now be content will have a rude awakening if the nation returns to business as usual. There will be neither rest nor tranquility in America until the Negro is granted his citizenship rights. The whirlwinds of revolt will continue to shake the foundations of our nation until the bright day of justice emerges. But there is something that I must say to my people who stand on the warm threshold which leads into the palace of justice. In the process of gaining our rightful place we must not be guilty of wrongful deeds. Let us not seek to satisfy our thirst for freedom by drinking from the cup of bitterness and hatred. We must forever conduct our struggle on the high plane of dignity and discipline. We must not allow our creative protest to degenerate into physical violence. Again and again we must rise to the majestic heights of meeting physical force with soul force. The marvelous new militancy which has engulfed the Negro community must not lead us to distrust of all white people, for many of our white brothers, as evidenced by their presence here today, have come to realize that their destiny is tied up with our destiny and their freedom is inextricably bound to our freedom. We cannot walk alone. And as we walk, we must make the pledge that we shall march ahead. We cannot turn back. There are those who are asking the devotees of civil rights, "When will you be satisfied?" we can never be satisfied as long as our bodies, heavy with the fatigue of travel, cannot gain lodging in the motels of the highways and the hotels of the cities. We cannot be satisfied as long as the Negro's basic mobility is from a smaller ghetto to a larger one. We can never be satisfied as long as a Negro in Mississippi cannot vote and a Negro in New York believes he has nothing for which to vote. No, no, we are not satisfied, and we will not be satisfied until justice rolls down like waters and righteousness like a mighty stream. I am not unmindful that some of you have come here out of great trials and tribulations. Some of you have come fresh from narrow cells. Some of you have come from areas where your quest for freedom left you battered by the storms of persecution and staggered by the winds of police brutality. You have been the veterans of creative suffering. Continue to work with the faith that unearned suffering is redemptive. Go back to Mississippi, go back to Alabama, go back to Georgia, go back to Louisiana, go back to the slums and ghettos of our northern cities, knowing that somehow this situation can and will be changed. Let us not wallow in the valley of despair. I say to you today, my friends, that in spite of the difficulties and frustrations of the moment, I still have a dream. It is a dream deeply rooted in the American dream. Ihave a dream that one day this nation will rise up and live out the true meaning of its creed: "We hold these truths to be self-evident: that all men are created equal." I have a dream that one day on the red hills of Georgia the sons of former slaves and the sons of former slaveowners will be able to sit down together at a table of brotherhood. I have a dream that one day even the state of Mississippi, a desert state, sweltering with the heat of injustice and oppression, will be transformed into an oasis of freedom and justice. I have a dream that my four children will one day live in a nation where they will not be judged by the color of their skin but by the content of their character. I have a dream today. I have a dream that one day the state of Alabama, whose governor's lips are presently dripping with the words of interposition and nullification, will be transformed into a situation where little black boys and black girls will be able to join hands with little white boys and white girls and walk together as sisters and brothers. I have a dream today. I have a dream that one day every valley shall be exalted, every hill and mountain shall be made low, the rough places will be made plain, and the crooked places will be made straight, and the glory of the Lord shall be revealed, and all flesh shall see it together. This is our hope. This is the faith with which I return to the South. With this faith we will be able to hew out of the mountain of despair a stone of hope. With this faith we will be able to transform the jangling discords of our nation into a beautiful symphony of brotherhood. With this faith we will be able to work together, to pray together, to struggle together, to go to jail together, to stand up for freedom together, knowing that we will be free one day. This will be the day when all of God's children will be able to sing with a new meaning, "My country, 'tis of thee, sweet land of liberty, of thee I sing. Land where my fathers died, land of the pilgrim's pride, from every mountainside, let freedom ring." And if America is to be a great nation, this must become true. So let freedom ring from the prodigious hilltops of New Hampshire. Let freedom ring from the mighty mountains of New York. Let freedom ring from the heightening Alleghenies of Pennsylvania! Let freedom ring from the snowcapped Rockies of Colorado! Let freedom ring from the curvaceous peaks of California! But not only that; let freedom ring from Stone Mountain of Georgia! Let freedom ring from Lookout Mountain of Tennessee! Let freedom ring from every hill and every molehill of Mississippi. From every mountainside, let freedom ring. When we let freedom ring, when we let it ring from every village and every hamlet, from every state and every city, we will be able to speed up that day when all of God's children, black men and white men, Jews and Gentiles, Protestants and Catholics, will be able to join hands and sing in the words of the old Negro spiritual, "Free at last! free at last! thank God Almighty, we are free at last!" The Foundation For Modern Anti-Semitism
FORWARD: Century of Hatred: 'Protocols' Live To Poison Yet Another Generation. Given all that's occurred in the Middle East in the latest Intifada, now in its third year, it sickens me to think that this sort of trash is still held up as fact and used to instigate violence against Jews in general and Israel in particular. That the idiots at MEChA have embraced them doesn't even surprise me anymore. Jew-hating seems to have become a global hobby throughout history and I will never understand why. History's most virulent antisemitic propaganda essay, "The Protocols of the Elders of Zion," was first published 100 years ago this week. Though the Protocols turned out to be both a notorious plagiarism and a shocking forgery, the essay would exercise a powerful impact upon the modern era, principally as a critical factor in generating the Holocaust.Read the whole article. August 22, 2003
Right-Wing Terror Apologists
This is a painful post to write, but it needs to be written. I find the U.N. beneath contempt, for reasons I'll explain in a minute - but some of the posts out there in the wake of the terrorist attack on the U.N.'s Baghdad HQ crossed a very important line. This post by Emperor Misha I, and a few of the comments associated with it, are probably the most widely publicized. Regrettably, in the comments section of this Winds of Change.NET post, team member Trent Telenko wrote in one of his comments: bq. "Too bad the Al-Qaeda didn't use a bigger bomb (August 20, 2003 02:56 AM)." That's unacceptable. What we have here, is a failure to communicate. Not theirs - they communicated all too well. So perhaps it's mine. Brothers, listen. Carefully. August 21, 2003
The shaky Philippine front
How effective really is the Philippines as a member of the U.S.-led global war against terrorism in light of recent events in Manila - the escape of Jemaah Islamiah terrorist Al-Ghozi from police custody and the failed mutiny of "disgruntled" soldiers - that once more exposed the enduring instability of government made even worse by pervasive charges of rampant corruption in the police force and in the military? Political writer/analyst Robert Tagorda, in his essay posted over at the Tech Central Station and referenced in his weblog, asks how should the U.S. address the Philippine situation: "...although the Philippines has shown willingness to contribute to the war on terror, its vehicles for meaningful contributions have, at the very least, brought disappointment. A quandary also exists: American and Australian assistance provides essential resources, but the Philippine government is so internally crippled that it cannot do much with them. Its own institutional problems hamper regional initiatives.Read the rest of Tagorda's essay. August 20, 2003
Dean May Opt Out Of Public Financing
Bush Campaign Reaching Out to Bloggers (washingtonpost.com) Better to skip the public financing and the spending limits. Howard Dean, who has proved surprisingly adept at raising campaign money, appears to be having second thoughts about his pledge to participate in the nation's program for publicly financing political campaigns.Any Democrat who is serious about winning the Presidency should just skip the public financing altogether. Hate is not the Answer
There are times when you've got to count to one thousand, take a deep breath, and let the anger go. Not because it's not justified. Not because of any "Moral Equivalence". Not because of "turning the other cheek". But because it's not useful.
Hate is not the answer.
I repeat, Hate is not the answer. It's not constructive. It won't bring the dead back, nor stop further massacres of the innocent.
Having a little old fashioned auto da fe and burning the members of Hamas and Islamic Jihad at the stake would only give momentary pleasure, and would corrode the soul. Demolishing the Dome of the Rock would neither bring the guilty to justice, nor damage their cause. It would be an act of Cultural Vandalism, something the Taliban knew all about. You do not beat an enemy by becoming him. Nuking Mecca would merely demonstrate that it's possible to provoke others beyond endurance, so they engage in shameful acts that slay the innocent along with the guilty. We would be no better, in fact worse, than the people who perpetrated 9/11. We know better. Engaging in ethnic cleansing in the name of security would be quite justified, but that particular strategy has been so over-used without any justification in the past that it's not feasible. Perhaps if compensation were paid, the land could be acquired by "eminent domain", and the borders moved. But that's just a band-aid, no solution at all in the long term. So what must be done? Ayyat al-Akhras - a 17 year-old girl - was the youngest child suicide bomber, murdering 2 Israelis in a Jerusalem supermarket on March 29, 2002. Hate is not the answer. But neither is pretending such inconvenient facts exist. The PA is not acting in Good Faith, has not acted in Good Faith, and will not act in Good Faith. Wishing so won't make it happen. It was worth a try - it was worth going the extra yard, the extra mile, the extra light-year, but eventually you have to face the unpalatable truth. The Palestinian leadership, and from all accounts a large and growing number of their subjects, just want to kill all the Jews. They're not alone. 8 August 2003: Sanaa Republic of Yemen Television in Arabic, official television station of the Republic of Yemen, at 0917 GMT carries a 28-minute live sermon from the Grand Mosque in Sanaa.Hate is not the answer. Neither Hate preached over Government Television, nor Hate preached from the Pulpit, nor most especially Hate in the Mosque or the School. This Hate must be stopped. It can no longer be ignored, swept under the carpet, or diplomatically excused as "they don't really mean it". They do. But the cure for this sickness is not in our hands. It lies in the hands of Muslims everywhere. People of Good Will, who believe in Allah the Compassionate, the Merciful. Until obedience to Allah is stronger than the ties of Muslim Brotherhood, Islam will continue to be besmirched by these idolators, who worship only themselves, with a Gun in one hand and the Koran in the other, marching straight to Hell. Hate is not the answer. Teaching Children to Hate is not the answer. We must stop this Child Abuse. One of the most meaningful gauges of the integrity of the peace process and its likelihood of success is the degree to which the parties educate toward peace. It is by this yardstick that the Palestinian Authority's education apparatus, formal and informal, has been such a dismal disappointment.- Jerusalem Post, via LGF The reports of the Center for Monitoring the Impact of Peace, confirm this. The CMP's charter is: "..to encourage a climate of tolerance and mutual respect between peoples and nations, founded on the rejection of violence and the changing of negative stereotypes, as a means to resolving conflicts. Hate is not the answer. Books that teach Hate are not the answer. An educational system devised to teach the joys of killing, killing, and yet more killing the devil subhumans, offspring of pigs and monkeys is not the answer. That system must be extirpated, root and branch, and the Child-Abusers who run it kept far, far away from the young. I don't have The One True Solution to the massacres, the suicides, the homicides, the psychopathic death-cultists. But Hate is not the answer. A cold, calculating and inhumanly rigorous and honest examination of all the facts, especially the ones we don't want to acknowledge is in order. We must let go of our outrage. It is not helpful. Innocent Blood should not be answered with more Innocent Blood - though there will certainly be a place for judicious surgery. We must be subtle, and put aside Righteous Wrath, however justified. It is not helpful. Hate is not the Answer. Don't get Mad, get Even. August 19, 2003
Trash The Income Tax
My personal favorite is a transaction tax that doesn't just focus on consumption, but apparently there's actually a bill for a national sales tax working its way through Congress, though it'll likely go nowhere. Even though it's not my preferred method, it would be a massive improvement over the Rube Goldberg system we have in place today. I prefer a transaction tax because I want the government to be neutral with regard to how money is used: savings isn't favored over consumption and the tax burden is spread equally over the factors of production -- land, labor and capital. Not so with a consumption tax, which taxes labor disproportionately. But, then again, so does the current system. Also, to keep a sales tax from being regressive it would require adding complexity to it, whereas a transaction tax would be regressive at the level of the individual purchase, though the rate would only be .6%, but progressive in aggregate. A nationwide sales tax would still be a major improvement and could be viewed as laying the groundwork for my dream scenario. Check out the Bowl of Gumbo for more on this bill. Post Office Screws Soldiers
Operation Red Tape - The Washington Times: Editorials/OP-ED Frankie Mayo has a mission — to cool the air for as many U.S. soldiers in Iraq as she can by sending them as many as air conditioners as she can lay her hands on. What started with a single air conditioner sent to her son at the end of June has grown into Operation Air Conditioner, with tons of units being sent to the troops. It is more than just providing them a touch of comfort or a taste of home, it is about helping them avoid heatstroke and providing them comfortable sleeping conditions. But, Mrs. Mayo had 302 new air conditioners waiting to go on Friday, when the U.S. Postal Service pulled the plug. A US Marine Reports From Iraq, Via The Wall Street Journal
Today the Wall Street Journal's OpinionJournal site publishes an article by Lance Cpl. Guardiano, a field radio operator with the U.S. Marine Corps' Fourth Civil Affairs Group and, as a civilian, defense editor of Rotor and Wing magazine. Read it here, and here's a sample: It's understandable that Western press reports are fixated on attacks that kill American soldiers. But that focus is obscuring what's actually happening in the rest of the country--and it misleads the public into thinking that Iraqis are growing angry and impatient with their liberators. Run Right, Says Joe
Lieberman Rejects Strategy Of Running to the Left (washingtonpost.com) Lieberman seems to have written off Iowa altogether and is planning on a strong showing in the south and west, which he may very well get. In appearances before crowds of Democrats looking for sharp attacks on President Bush's tax cuts, trade pacts and foreign policy, Lieberman is sounding a bit like a Republican as he laments the "old" and "outdated" solutions advocated by many Democrats. "It's right out of [Bush political director] Karl Rove's playbook," said Dean's spokeswoman, Patricia Enright. Some Democratic voters seem to agree -- he was the only candidate booed at recent candidate cattle calls.The nay-sayers may have a point: Clinton won by running left in the primaries and going to the center for the general election. We'll see. Maybe Lieberman has already decided he can't make that kind of move convincingly and just has to campaign as himself. Refreshing, if true. Milton Friedman On The Fed's Performance
WSJ.com - The Fed's Thermostat At some point we will have to determine how much government we are willing to pay for and the manner in which we pay. My series of proposed solutions (a transaction tax to replace the entire federal tax code, notional accounts for Social Security and personal accounts for out-of-hospital healthcare costs) could, if implemented, go a long way towards fixing the government's fiscal situation. So again, why am I not worried about the deficit? Because we have the fundamentals down and solutions are available. We just have to implement them. The reason we're in this situation is the man quoted below: Milton Friedman. The basic responsibility of the Federal Reserve is to produce as close an approximation as possible to price stability. Chart 1 provides evidence on how well it has performed that function. It plots for each quarter the annual rate of inflation in a comprehensive price index -- the deflator used to calculate real GDP.Friedman closes by describing the "New Keynesianism" which sounds suspiciously like monetarism: Yet it does, I believe, suggest the answer. Central banks the world over performed badly prior to the '80s not because they lacked the capacity to do better, but because they pursued the wrong goals according to a wrong theory. Keynes had taught them that the quantity of money did not matter, that what mattered was autonomous spending and the multiplier, that the role of monetary policy was to keep interest rates low to promote investment and thereby full employment. Inflation, according to this vision, was produced primarily by pressures on cost that could best be restrained by direct controls on prices and wages.This one equation, MV=Py, seems so obvious and simple, but it was largely ignored by brilliant economists in the 1960's and 1970's and it took Milton Friedman's constant harping on the matter to open their eyes. As a result, today inflation is no longer a major issue and we have proven that low inflation doesn't mean high unemployment. And we have Milton Friedman to thank for that. He also manages to squeeze in his own law of economics: inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon. I love that man. August 18, 2003
Lieberman: Free Trade Protectionist
A Sunday ago Lieberman made a bold pronouncement on Fox News: "…if we're against trade [and] for protectionism -- which never created a job -- we don't deserve to run the country." Here, Here. From this it would seem Lieberman could give Bush a lesson on Free Trade. But Lieberman is still a democrat, and still relies on protectionism prone unions to get elected. So to no surprise, Lieberman was in New Hampshire the very next day promoting his plan to bail out the US manufacturing industry by offering tax credits to companies who keep their production stateside. This plan is positively protectionist though without explicitly violating any trading agreements, which makes honest Joe possibly the biggest hypocrite in the primary heat. There's more!!! Read the Full Article Here The Journal Has No Less Than Two Stories On Why The Power Grid Should Be Handled At The Federal Level
OpinionJournal: Electricity Is a Federal Issue: Fifty million people losing power should change the political game. I'm not advocating that it be nationalized, of course, simply that it be regulated by a single entity since it cuts across state lines in a major way. Congress should empower FERC to brush aside local regulations and devise a set of rules to ensure the stability of the grid and end disputes over jurisdiction that start at state lines. I suspect the utilities would prefer to operate to a single set of rules as well. The electricity blackout that cascaded through the Midwest, Canada and New York was not supposed to happen. President Bush, Gov. Pataki and Congress have demanded a full explanation. Gov. Richardson of New Mexico already knows the answer must be that we have "a Third World electricity grid." Ouch! That's a bit of a leap. Experts were surprised by the blackout, and couldn't immediately pinpoint the backbreaking straw. The autopsy will take a bit of time to marshal and diagnose the evidence. With good sense, longer-term changes in the electric grid may be undertaken to make future blackouts less likely.Agreed. For another Journal story on this very issue, and the legalities involved, go here. Riyadh Delenda Est, Part Deux
Saudi Arabia's Teachers of Terror (washingtonpost.com) Unless we are prepared to use the military, and I doubt many people in this country are, our options are limited in the short term. An oil embargo would be foolish because we would punish ourselves and for little gain: oil is fungible and can make its way into this country through third parties. Even so, over the long term the Saudis need us more than we need them. Their economy is a one-trick pony: oil. That provides us with the leverage to force long-term change. Right now we import about 17% of our oil from Saudi Arabia. I don't know which way it is trending at the moment but I do know we have managed to diversify our oil portfolio over the last twenty years -- to the detriment of the Saudis -- and believe we will be able to continue to do so when Iraq is at full capacity in a few years. Russia has also been increasing its exports of oil drastically in recent years and that will likely continue. The House of Saud has for decades played a double game with the United States, on the one hand acting as our ally, on the other supporting a movement -- Wahhabism -- that seeks our society's destruction. Because of other strategic interests, our government has long indulged the Saudis, overlooking their financial and structural ties to one of the world's most violent terror organizations.Read the whole thing. August 17, 2003
Big-Government Conservatives
John Hawkins has a post contesting the description of Bush as a "big-government conservative", instead calling him a crafty politician. I agree with much of what John says, though I would like to see Bush pursue reform of the entitlement programs. Any politician that proposes the end of Social Security or Medicare will have a career duration that can be measured on an egg timer. I suspect we'll embrace both of those programs to the point of bankruptcy and economic stagnation, if it comes to that. Fortunately, alternatives are available that can restrain the growth of both programs: notional accounts for Social Security and MSAs, or personal accounts, for Medicare Part 'B'. Notional accounts would tie a person's withdrawal from Social Security to his contributions. Retirement age would become irrelevant because the annuity would be calculated based on the contributions, declared retirement age and life expectancy. This alone would stabilize the size of the liability associated with Social Security. From there funding options could be explored that would, hopefully, not cripple the economy when the boomers retire. The beauty of this idea is that it doesn't require any transition cost and can be implemented immediately. Politically it would be very difficult, but I'm quite prepared to tell those economic terrorists at the AARP to go screw themselves. I'm not willing to sacrifice the entire economy because an interest group finds its constituency at risk. Likewise with Medicare. Using personal accounts that roll over from year-to-year for all of the non-hospital parts of Medicare would create a functioning healthcare market in this country and the private sector would follow. Those two programs are here to stay, short of a generational war. That being the case we need to make reforms that make them sustainable without crippling the economy. That's what President Bush should be focusing on. Not Ideal, But Routine
Automatic Shutdowns Went Smoothly at Nuclear Plants (washingtonpost.com) Nine nuclear reactors at seven plants in New York, New Jersey, Michigan and Ohio shut down automatically because of the grid failure Thursday, the largest stoppage in memory. There are 50 nuclear reactors in the Northeast and Midwest regions, according to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, which monitors the safety of the industry.They describe it as "risky", but that's really a poor choice of words. The control rods, which are made of boron, are automatically inserted into the reactor to stop the reaction. It's more accurate to say that the sudden stop stresses the equipment. UPDATE: No Watermelons Allowed has more info on this issue. Electricity Deregulation
It's really too early to write an extended entry on the blackouts in the Northeast, though I may do one later. I just wanted to bring up a point that people seem to be missing, especially Robert Kuttner, who's never met a regulation he didn't like: the power grid itself is still a regulated monopoly. Power generation has been deregulated to allow the operators of the grid to buy power from whomever can provide it the cheapest. Blaming deregulation for what is, by most accounts, a grid failure, misses the target completely. Try again, Bob. UPDATE:The New York Post has a good op-ed on the situation that takes a more balanced look at the issues: But NRG and other private-sector generators aren't really the heroes of the story. Power executives lucky enough to inherit decades-old, pollution-spewing coal-fired power plants have gone through every fine-print rule in the book, and written some of their own, to avoid complying with environmental regulations. They enjoy fat profit margins while owners of newer, cleaner plants must struggle under onerous rules.Several good points are made and I agree with most of them. I've addressed this in the past (see here, here, here, here, here, here and here) and still have the same point of view: the "new source review" regulations need to be done away with along with the concept of "grandfathered" plants. New source review means that the EPA reviews maintenance records on older, grandfathered, plants and determines if they are maintaining existing equipment or creating a new source of power generation. This is occurring because the original Clean Air Act excluded numerous old plants on the theory that they would be closed soon anyway. They're still open. All power generation in this country should operate under a single set of emission rules, namely the tradeable credits put in place in the early 1990's. That means doing away with the concept of grandfathered plants and forcing them to buy enough pollution credits to cover their emissions, upgrade their plants to bring them into compliance or shut them down. The situation we have now is a bureaucrat's dream -- new source review regulations -- and a power executive's dream if he owns an old plant because he doesn't have to account for the cost of his emissions. We have an effective and efficient mechanism for limiting pollution through tradeable credits. It should be applied to all power plants equally. August 15, 2003
AMATEUR ANALYSIS: Blackout Began in US!
After investigating the online records of incidences (at www.i-grid.com) of swag/swells/ and interuptions on the grid yesterday afternoon, I have identified the following as the first anomaly: Local Time Event Type Location This was followed by three more sags in Ohio over the course of three seconds and then a sustained deep undervoltage at 04:09:02 PM in Michigan. The first anomaly identified in Canada was in Ontario at 04:10:57 PM, an Instantaneous Swell. First power interuption occurred in the US at 04:10:34 PM in Michigan, while the first Canadian interruption was noted at 04:11:55 PM in Ontario. So it looks like the problem started in the US. Letter to Mr and Mrs America
> I'm glad the blackout wasn't al qaeda... but don't think that this episode Mrs G, may I please quote you Verbatim on "The Command Post"? (She said yes - AEB) You see I'm proud to know you. You're right to be proud of Americans again. You, yes, the People of the USA, Mr and Mrs G, Eric, James, Sara, Gnat, I'm amazed. I hope that we in Oz would live up to the standard you've set. Regards (and somewhat in awe of you all), AEB Darkness Falls: Tales From the Blackout
Within five minutes, all the neighbors were out, asking each other do you have power? We hung around outside complaining about the humidity and waiting for the buzz and hum of the return of power. Nothing. Several minutes later we heard sirens. And then again, coming from another direction. A stream of cars came down our side street, indicating an accident on the main road. Several minutes later and sirens again, coming from elsewhere. Streetlights must be out, our neighor Rick said. Rick, a retired policeman, turned on his police scanner. He listened quietly on his front lawn for a few minutes and then came running over, breathless. Whole northeast! Even Detroit! So, what would your first reaction be? Yes, terrorism. We took it in stride, however, and everyone went in to their respective houses to check for candles, batteries and all the necessities. WABC 770 was the only station I could get on the car radio. Sean Hannity was on the air, taking phone calls from all over and getting on the spot reporting. He reiterated one very important fact over and over. This was not a terrorist attack. Something went wrong upstate, perhaps in Buffalo. I listened to a stream of on-the-spot reporters detailing all the ways in which New Yorkers were helping each other: sharing cabs; giving rides to strangers; directing traffic and just being patient. Those who still had connections on their cell phones were lending the phones to strangers to make calls to loved ones. The comparisons to the '77 blackout in NYC, rife with looting and danger, are inevitable. And so are the comparisons to 9/11. While some of you may cringe or roll your eyes the truth remains; we've learned a lot from 9/11. The city appeared to be in a complete state of calm. People walked the bridges just as they did on 9/11, in massive throngs of strangers among strangers, sharing the misery of the day. I think we learned how to cope with both the big and the small, and to take situations like this in stride. It's as if a fire drill had rung, and everyone went to their proper places and did what they were supposed to and no one pushed or shoved. Even with thoughts of terrorism still creeping into the back of our minds, we remained calm, if not a little pissed off that it had to happen on such a hot and humid day. Sure, I worried about the ton of meat I had in the freezer, and I worried about elderly relatives and I sort of shuddered remembering what happened after it got dark in New York in 1977, but I still retained my air of complacency. After all, we've been through worse things than this. Much. much worse. Out here on Long Island, we mostly went on with our day, while keeping an ear tuned to the radio. The kids stayed in the pool until almost nightfall. We ordered pizza (thank goodness for gas-powered ovens), drank a few beers and waited for some good news. As darkness approached, we headed across the street to my parents house, where my sister and her husband had already decided to camp out for a while. We listened to the Yankee game on the radio and read, talked and played games and told spooky stories and made spooky faces with the flashlight until we had to squint to see each other. Such darkness. No streetlights, no light residue from the city, no planes streaking across the horizon, no neon or amber waves of sale signs sucking the pitch black from the sky. It was a sight to behold, looking upwards and we all craned our necks and admired the stars because there were more than we had ever seen before. My son took out his telescope and scanned the sky for Mars. The rest of us laid on the grass and soaked up the scenery. The sky was flooded with constellations we never get to see. We pointed this way and that and looked for more and someone joked that they would go inside and print out a chart of the starts. We felt lucky to be able to what people in other parts of the country whose sky isn't saturated with electric lights get to see every night, and as we lay there on the grass scanning the heavens, we let out a collective gasp as a bright shooting star sailed past us. Eventually the moon made its way over our part of the world, an almost full moon glowing orange and resembling a partly deflated basketball. We sat in silence for a while until the we had to turn our chairs to keep our eyes on the moon and then I realized how late it was. We took the kids home and waited. We heard that power was coming back on sporadically in parts of New York. We all camped out in the living room, but it was too hot to sleep well. I read by candlelight as the kids slept and woke and slept and woke, each time asking if the electricity was back. It came back in fits and starts. I would hear the fan start whirring or the cable box click on and we would get all excited and prepare to move ourselves into the bedrooms and cool air and then the hum of electricity would become more like moan and darkness would fall again. This went on most of the night and we finally fell dead asleep at about five, too exhausted to even care about being hot. When I woke up at seven, the fan was on. I waited, held my breath even, but it seemed to be permanent. We were back. The first thing I did was not reach for the computer or turn on the tv. I sleepily lumbered into the kitchen and kissed the coffee maker. Welcome back, buddy, I said and hurredly scooped some grounds into the basket in case this was just a tease and I would be submurged into a coffee-less world again. Now it's 8am, the coffee is made, the fans are on (we decided to hold off on the air conditioning to be kind to the power plants), my inbox is full and there are stories of the wonderful camraderie of New Yorkers in the paper. And I'm going back to bed. August 14, 2003
Power Outage Op-Ed
It took 2 hours to receive our first Op-Ed related to the power outage, courtesy Gerard Van der Leun; see his original post here. -------------------------- They say it is not a "terrorist incident" as the ent |