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November 03, 2004
An Op-Ed From Alan?!?! On Red States, Competing Narratives, And More ...
I'm going to do something which, if memory serves, I have yet to do at Command Post ... I'm going to post original writing on the Op-Ed page (those other Op-Eds have been from Alan E. Brain, a different Alan altogether ... I'm the co-founder, he's the rock-solid Australian contributor). For me Command Post has always been about Journalism By The People, For The People, and not about a platform for my own writing, so I’ve stayed away from this page. Today, though, perhaps because of my closeness to the news, my participation in the two conventions, and my unwillingness to publicly impose my "side" on others, I've been asked all morning about my take on the election. And so while I traditionally eschew self-punditry here, this time, I actually do have something I'd like to share. So here goes ... I'll start with an email I received this morning ... one typical of the queries I've received throughout the day:I don’t know if you care about what I have to say or not, but I have to share this with other election watchers.I'll post here the gist of my reply. Yes, the Democrats awake in a strange and foreign land ... a land with Red as far as the eye can see. But frankly, I don't think the moral majority is the issue. If anything, it's an oversimplification in explaining the election. I just don't believe that there are that many people who voted Republican based on gay marriage and abortion ... at least, not appreciably more than voted Democrat on the same issues. For the Democrats I think the reality is worse than that: The Democratic party has lost its ability to connect, in a compelling way, with much of middle (read, “average”) America. Operationally, they're still planning strategy as if the GOP is the party of the wealthy and powerful. But look at the distribution of votes last night ... the huge swaths of Red nearly everywhere where major cities are absent ... and it's clear the GOP isn't the party of the Country Club, it's the party of the Rotary Club. Of course, discourse like this doesn't help:Why were we in this fight in the first place? Because terrible leaders are doing terrible things to our country and calling this wonderful. Because radical reactionaries are trying to impose their imperialist schemes on whoever they wish and calling this just. Because amoral oligarchs are determined to enhance their slice of the economic pie and calling this the natural order. Because flag-wrapped ideologues want to chop up civil liberties and call this security. Because myopians are in charge of America’s future.That sort of language simply doesn't resonate with large numbers of "average" folks in any town in America. What's worse, the sentiment, "I know better than you and you're just not bright enough to see it," strikes as snobbish and elitist, and alienates the Rotary Club. The fact is that the Republicans have a philosophy ... a narrative ... that works for lots of people who disagree with the President on gay marriage and abortion. That narrative: we'll let you keep more of your money, we'll keep you safe internationally through strength, and we'll keep government off your back. It's an old Republican narrative. Ronald Reagan first articulated it in his Goldwater endorsement speech ("A Time Of Choosing") in 1964:This is the issue of this election: Whether we believe in our capacity for self-government or whether we abandon the American revolution and confess that a little intellectual elite in a far-distant capitol can plan our lives for us better than we can plan them ourselves.Old, but still relevant. Indeed, you have to work awfully hard to find a Democratic narrative that can compare ... that isn't simply "we're not what the Republicans are." The fact is: there IS no compelling Democratic counter-narrative. Witness Mother Jones: It’s plain why this [the Republican] story works as well as it does. It presents a classic hero and a journey that reaches down through the brain into the gut. And Republicans can translate it into simple, clear lines of action: Wage war and don’t stop. Cut taxes. Put bad guys in jail, or to death.Last night Bob Novak said that the Democrats are now "in the wilderness." Regardless of the good Electoral College showing of John Kerry, the whole damn country is Red ... the White House, the Senate, the House, the Supreme Court, the Governorships, local legislatures, school boards. But it's not uncharted territory ... the Republicans were in the wilderness when LBJ demolished Goldwater (and the entire Republican party) in 1964 ... a time when people wondered if the Republicans would ever win a national election again. The Democrats can find their way back, but they first must craft the compelling narrative ... the political philosophy that will be relevant to Rotary members all across this land: We believe in this land no man is a loser ... that everyone has potential. And if times get tough, which they will, we'll be there to give you a hand up, but never a hand out. Oh ... and we'll keep you safe, too might be a start. Clinton had that narrative nailed ... but when he left office, the narrative left with him. Before the DNC I heard Mark Shields note that Reagan said his inspiration was FDR, and that the next great Democratic leader will say his inspiration was Ronald Reagan. He's right. The Democrats are never going to get America to come to them; they must go to America ... an America that has changed from when it considered the Democratic Party the party of the "average" man, as it did in 1964. They must articulate a clear and compelling political philosophy and narrative ... here's what we stand for! ... and must then leave their ivory tower and go to the field ... spreading that compelling narrative one school board race ... one Rotary Club ... at a time. Posted By Alan at November 3, 2004 12:32 PM | TrackBackComments
Yes. The southern states and the midwest are not home to the intelligentsia so much, so when you start throwing out terms like imperialism and hegemony, you basically cast away a lot of middle class votes. Posted by: Bryan S. And the "moral majority" is a term from the '80s that's derogatory toward people who disagree with liberals on moral issues. I hope it doesn't come back now. The fact is, there are just a lot of people who don't want to have some sort of "new morality" shoved down their throats. They are not post-modern, and they don't like people who speak in terms that reject any form of absolute or bedrock truth. Posted by: Bryan S. Very well said. Wonderful first op-ed! Posted by: Sunidesus ditto what Sunidesus said.
Posted by: CERDIP Never mind red state, blue state, I'm waiting to see someone produce a map by county and by municipality so we can see in more fine-grained detail just how even the blue states are divided between urban, suburban and rural concentrations. And, as well, the red states with blue cencentrations at their urban centers. That's where the divisons are.
Posted by: old_timer Alan, Brilliant. Just brilliant. That's one for the CP hall of fame. Posted by: Alliturken I think, for the most part, you are right on. Unfortunately for the Democrats, they probably won't yield your advice. I think they believe they were not passionate (read, "angry") enough. I believe that before they can come back...if they can, it will get far worse than it is now.
Posted by: StrobeAlific This was a very close election that turned on a hundred thousand people in a single state. This, despite a weak candidate who had more than his share of baggage, and who sat for years on the very left end of our party, directly opposite where Bill Clinton taught us we could still win. There is nothing fundamentally wrong with the Democratic narrative. Reading such a basic defect into this close election (or the slight Republican majorities in the Congress) is ridiculous. Posted by: rdelephant rdelephant -
Posted by: Wayne Fielder This is for old_timer: Michelle Malkin has county maps for 2004 and 2000. Analyze and enjoy!
Posted by: Dilys
You Said:
The Democrats can find their way back, but they first must craft the compelling narrative … the political philosophy that will be relevant to Rotary members all across this land: We believe in this land no man is a loser … that everyone has potential. And if times get tough, which they will, we’ll be there to give you a hand up, but never a hand out. Oh … and we’ll keep you safe, too might be a start. Clinton had that narrative nailed … but when he left office, the narrative left with him. But then the Democrats would be Republicans. Indeed, Bush brand Republicans Works for me. Posted by: captainjohnhall I grew up on a small farm in East Central Indiana. I've been to dozens of the small churches out along the county roads. Many of these churches are gone now. They were replaced by big-box churches that have large PAs and elaborate lighting rigs. The congregations are large and the Gospel is more potent than ever.
Posted by: obelus I put the county maps on a single page for comparison, looks to me like the blue areas shrunk ;-)
Posted by: Dan Kauffman ..someone said it alot better than I.."I didnt leave them they left me"..
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