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Global Recon
April 29, 2005L-3 Subsidiary Under Criminal Investigation Over Military Rescue Radios
Boeing subcontractor L-3 Communications Holdings Inc. (L-3, not to be confused with wholesale telecom provider Level 3 Communications) is under federal criminal investigation after Interstate Electronics Corp., one of its subsidiaries, supplied defective parts used in CSEL emergency radios to locate downed military pilots. Interstate Electronics Corp. purchased many of the parts from lower-level suppliers, but it is responsible for supervising the manufacturing process, testing the parts and verifying they meet quality standards. Pentagon criminal investigators and contract-management officials now suspect that Interstate Electronics may have supplied thousands of other, potentially substandard parts over the years to a wide range of Army and Air Force weapons systems. The Los Angeles U.S. attorney’s office is leading this investigation, and its expansion means that L-3 could be subject to greater penalties if found guilty of wrongdoing. The US government (primarily the military) accounts for more than 75% of the company’s business. New industry blog Defense Industry Daily explains: N. Korea Able To Arm Missile With NukeThe Associated Press reports the Defense Intelligence Agency chief says North Korea is able to arm a missile with a nuclear weapon. From California Yankee. April 28, 2005Europe, Radical Islam & SecularismTransatlantic Intelligencer put me on to a really good interview The Aspen Institute Berlin did with Irshad Manji, Gilles Kepel, and Steven Emerson about Islam in Europe. Canadian “Muslim Refusenik” Irshad Manji had some especially interesting things to say - not just about Islam, but about Europe and secularism: bq.. 2. How widespread is Muslim extremism in European Muslim communities and mosques? (Manji): It mostly depends on how you define extremism. If you mean “literalism,” then it is more than widespread - it is mainstream. If you mean the overt preaching of violence, then it percolates on the margins. The key here is to recognize that because literalism is mainstream in Islam today, the thin minority of Muslims who have any intention of engaging in terror are nonetheless protected by the vast majority of moderate Muslims who don’t know how to debate and dissent with that proclivity. Let me explain why. April 25, 2005Japan Train Crash Kills 50, Injures 340A packed commuter train jumped the tracks in western Japan on Monday and hurtled into an apartment complex, killing 50 people and injuring more than 340 others in the deadliest rail accident here in four decades. April 24, 2005U.S. Considers Blockade Resolution as N. Korea Prepares for Possible Nuclear TestToday’s New York Times reports two major new developments in the North Korea story. The Administration’s long-lived patience with North Korea may finally be at an end as it contemplates asking the U.N. for a resolution that would authorize any nation to stop North Korean ship and planes to search for nuclear material. Meanwhile, North Korea may be preparing to test a nuclear weapon. First, the general terms of the conceptual resolution: Chinese cooperation with the resolution is doubtful at best, although increased trade pressure on China in the U.S. Congress and in Europe could give the Administration more leverage. Previous leaks from the Bush Administration have suggested an emerging strategy of isolating North Korea economically to deprive its rulers of the hard currency they need to sustain their regime. In late January, the Administration concluded that North Korea sold enriched uranium to the A.Q Khan network, and ultimately to Libya. In early February, North Korea recently walked out of nuclear disarmament talks and declared itself a nuclear power. Later that month, the North threatened to attack U.S. installations in South Korea. Most recently, North Korea shut down its plutonium reactor at Yongbyong, a prerequisite to removing fuel rods it could then reprocess into weapons-grade material. Neither China nor South Korea has been willing to force North Korea to choose between the aid and trade benefits they both provide and returning to the talks in earnest. Today’s N.Y. Times story also reports that North Korea may be preparing for a nuclear test.
In February 2004, the New York Times reported that North Korea may have tested a nuclear weapon in Pakistan in 1998, as part of its cooperation with the A.Q. Khan network. Although the exposure of the Khan network would make continued Pakistani cooperation with North Korea prohibitively risky, Time Asia has reported that North Korea also cooperates extensively with Iran in its nuclear weapons development. HT: The Lost Nomad April 23, 2005North Korea Preparing Nuclear Arms TestThe Washington Times reports that U.S. intelligence agencies have detected activity at facilities in North Korea indicating the country may be preparing to conduct its first nuclear test. From California Yankee. April 22, 2005Winds of Change.NET's New Energy Currents: Apr 22/05Spring is in full bloom in the NYC, and the energy bill season is in full swing - a great time to be alive, in other words. As different technologies begin to compete in earnest for the public’s attention, acceptance, and tax dollars, New Energy Currents will do its best to give you a broad overview of developments in energy technology and policy. By John Atkinson, of chiasm. HateWatch Briefing: 2005-04-22Welcome! This briefing will be looking hard at the dark places the mainstream media sometimes seem determined to look away from, to better understand our declared enemies on their own terms and without illusions. Our goal is to bring you some of the top jihadi rants, idiotarian seething, and old-school Jew-hatred from around the world, leaving you more informed, more aware, and pretty disgusted every month. This Winds of Change.NET HateWatch briefing is brought to you by Lewy14, and by zorkmidden of Discarded Lies. Past briefings and posts on related topics can be found here. Entil’zha veni! HIGHLIGHTED TOPICS
April 20, 2005Ecuador's President Removed from OfficeEcuador’s Congress voted Wednesday to remove President Lucio Gutierrez from office by a 62-0 vote. According tom the Associated Press, the removal was based on a clause in Ecuador’s Constitution that allows Congress to remove a president for “abandonment of the position:”
Vice President Alfredo Palacio has been sworn in to replace Gutierrez. From California Yankee. April 19, 2005New Pope Is Selected- Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger, Pope Benedict XVI - FINAL UPDATE 1:30 ETLink will follow. Coverage shows what appears to be white smoke emerging from chimney. Crowds are cheering and clapping in the Square. Others are running to the Square. UPDATE: The bells are now ringing. More Black SmokeThe Associated Press reports that more black smoke chugged from the Sistine Chapel chimney Tuesday signaling the cardinals have not yet selected a new pope. From California Yankee. China's Stresses, Military Buildups... and FuturesCicero had another very fine piece last week called “Wish You Happy.” It brings his usual lyrical style to bear on China’s reputation as an exploitative low-cost manufacturer, the environmental dimension of the Chinese miracle, unrest among the populace, and the environmentalist gap. The phrase “Kyoto stinks” will never again register with me in quite the same way…. As we’ve seen over the past 2 weeks, the Chinese government is more than happy to channel some of that simmering angst into nationalism with a hostile edge, even as it seeks to keep control of what it is unleashing. Fortunately, this is a subject Winds has covered before. Which is why I want to return to that coverage and the debates it spawned, throw in a couple of items about the geo-political and military dimensions of China’s rise, and tie all that into a look at some potential futures. Note the use of the plural “futures.” This post will not be about convincing you of one specific view of China’s future. That’s partly because I don’t have one. Instead, I’d rather introduce you to some new ideas about what that future could look like, and leave you better informed about some of the dynamics by laying out some good thought-pieces and good sources. Then you can get informed, think it over, come to your own conclusions, and hopefully return to discuss it. The issue is important enough to be worth it. April 18, 2005Islam, the Vatican, and The Next ChristianityAnd why does this not surprise us at all?
Nor is he the only example. Given the level of persecution and violence Christians face in Muslim countries, it’s probably no surprise that the Wahington Post reports that the Vatican is rethinking its relations with Islam. But the shifts that are ripening within Christianity may end up mattering even more. Black Smoke - No New Pope TodayThe Associated Press reports that black smoke poured from the Sistine Chapel’s chimney Monday evening, signaling that the cardinals failed to elect a new pope. According to the Associated Press, the cardinals will retire for the night and return to the chapel Tuesday morning for more balloting. From California Yankee. Angola Says Marburg Outbreak Coming Under ControlReuters reports that Angolan officials believe the Marburg outbreak is coming under control in the north of the country:
From California Yankee. Cardinals Begin ConclaveThe New York Times reports that Sistine Chapel’s doors have been closed as the Conclave to select a new pope begins. From California Yankee. April 15, 2005China Demonstrations: "Tame?"Note that this piece by ‘Cicero’ follows on the heels of another China-related post, “Wish You Happy” Today’s New York Times has an article that concerns Chinese protests against Japan: China has tapped a deep strain of nationalism among its people, gambling, analysts say, that it can propel itself to a leadership role in Asia while cloaking its move for power in the guise of wounded pride and popular will. I can understand Chinese rage if Japan is in official denial over its abuse of China in the 30s and 40s. Too often, Nanking’s rape is eclipsed by European atrocities of the same era. What We Think We Know About HuarteI noted a little while ago a very interesting story that appeared on Expatica in which the Spanish Popular Party had asked the 3/11 commission to look into one Fernando Huarte Santamaria, a Socialist deputy and the former head of the Spanish Palestinian Support Association who had met repeatedly with Abdelkrim Benesmail, who is either an aide to suspected GIA member and 3/11 mastermind Allekema Lamari or a mastermind on his own right. There was a lot of interesting information that Colt and Joe A listed in the comments and I just want to make sure that I have all the details right concerning Huarte before I start repeating this. I freely confess my ignorance with respect to the Spanish political scene and am more than happy to be corrected on any details I get wrong here. Having seen first-hand how conspiracy theories can spin out of control very, very fast I want to make sure that we have the facts straight. April 14, 2005AP puts words in Ariel Sharon's mouthThe Associated Press reports, in an article that’s currently being given top billing by Drudge, that Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon told CNN he has ruled out a preemptive strike against Iran’s possible nuclear facilities. Sharon Rules Out Attacking Iran Over Nukes The only problem is, reading the actual transcript of the interview in question, Sharon doesn’t actually say any of that! Here’s the relevant portion of the interview: BLITZER: A lot of our viewers will remember in 1981, when Israel unilaterally bombed an Iraqi nuclear reactor at Osirak. Are you considering — let me rephrase the question, at what point would Israel take unilateral military action to try to prevent Iran from building a nuclear bomb? Somehow, that bundle of equivocation got mangled by the AP into “Sharon rules out attacking Iran” and “Israel will not mount a unilateral attack.” Let’s review what Sharon actually said, shall we? 1. “We don’t think that’s what we have to do” is a speculative assertion of fact; it is by no means a blanket statement that any future option has been ruled out. What you “think” can be wrong. Just because you “think” you won’t have to do something, doesn’t mean it will not happen or that it’s no longer an option. 2. “We’re not going to solve the problems for nobody” is somewhat more forceful, but in addition to being gramatically incorrect, it’s also quite vague. What, precisely, are “the problems”? Just how solid is the level of certainty that’s supposed to be implied by the phrase “not going to”? One can draw various inferences, but this statement certainly isn’t an effective disavowal of any and all possible future preemptive options. 3. “[I]t’s not that we are planning any military attack on Iran” is not an assertion that anything has been taken off the table by any means. He’s merely saying that it isn’t being planned, not that it’s no longer an option or that it will not happen. That’s a HUGE distinction. Bottom line, if Ariel Sharon had wanted to say, “We are taking the preemptive option off the table,” he could have. But HE DIDN‘T. And yet the AP is reporting that he did! Also, nowhere in the interview transcript does the phrase “unilateral action” appear, and the only phrase that comes close — “unilteral military action” — was spoken by Wolf Blitzer, not Ariel Sharon. Sharon never even uttered the word “unilateral,” according to the transcript. So what is the justification for the first sentence of the second paragraph in the AP article? It reads: “Sharon said he did not see ‘unilateral action’ as an option.” Sharon said no such thing! Finally, Sharon also didn’t say anything about what Israel “needs” to do, talking only about what “should” happen internationally. He was silent on the question of what Israel would “need” to do if the things that “should” happen, don’t happen. Another potentially significant distinction. Unless the CNN transcript is badly flawed or I am really missing something, I’d have to conclude that this AP article is badly, badly flawed. April 13, 2005Mystery Ship Crosses into N. Korea; S. Korean Navy Fires Warning ShotsUPDATE: Looks like I was wrong. It appears to be the act of a lone drunk who opted for the Workers’ Paradise. That’s going to be some hangover. ORIGINAL POST: The Chosun Ilbo calls it a defection, but without knowing more than what’s in the article, I’d say a more likely theory is that some North Korean infiltrators were on their way home. South Korean coastal border guards fired some 20 warning shots from a 60 mm mortar, 106 mm recoilless rifle and MG50 machine gun, but were unable to stop the ship crossing the NLL. It’s strictly my own speculation at this point, and a definitive explanation may not be forthcoming, but I’ll be the first to admit it if I’m wrong. This piece by Andrei Lankov is must-read background material (the man’s timing is pretty extraordinary, no?). Not that the current South Korean regime would eagerly admit such a possibility. Whose hostile policy, Minister Chung? UPDATE: CNN reports that the vessel appears to have been a South Korean fishing boat. Scientists Rush to Destroy Killer Flu VirusThe killer “Asian” flu virus, sent to laboratories around the world as part of routine test kits, could trigger a pandemic if it escapes, but the chances of that are low, the World Health Organization said on Wednesday. April 10, 2005ICG Report on NW Africa (and the War)ICG has another report out, this one on terrorism in the Sahel (Mali, Niger, Chad, Mauritania, etc) region of North Africa. The issue of North African (and particularly Algerian) terrorism has been one that I’ve been interested in for quite some time now and apparently some of my previous posts on the subject apparently helped to inspire a chapter in Richard Miniter’s Shadow War, which I now shamelessly promote. In contrast to some of my problems with the ICG report on Iranian influence on Iraq, in which I think the conclusions of the report ignored some of the evidence presented within it (elements of the IRCG are supporting Sadr and Ansar al-Islam, but there’s no proof that Iran is backing the insurgency - huh?), but all in all I think that this one is pretty good. Thankfully, the issue of North African terrorism has yet to be politicized the way that anything to do with Iraq (and to a lesser extent Iran) have been over the last couple years. I’m going through the information rather the recommendations contained in the report since I’m more interested in the information rather than the ICG recommendations, which are fairly easily accessible in summarized form on their website. With all that in mind, let us begin, shall we? 6.8 Earthquake in SumatraA strong earthquake hit Sunday near the Indonesian island of Sumatra), Hong Kong seismologists said. Just breaking, more as it comes in. April 08, 2005Hatewatch Briefing 2005-04-08Welcome! This briefing will be looking hard at the dark places the mainstream media sometimes seem determined to look away from, to better understand our declared enemies on their own terms and without illusions. Our goal is to bring you some of the top jihadi rants, idiotarian seething, and old-school Jew-hatred from around the world, leaving you more informed, more aware, and pretty disgusted every month. This Winds of Change.NET HateWatch briefing is brought to you by Lewy14, and by zorkmidden of Discarded Lies. Past briefings and posts on related topics can be found here. Entil’zha veni! HIGHLIGHTED TOPICS
April 06, 2005Monaco's Rainier Dead at 81Monaco’s Prince Rainier III, who turned one of the world’s smallest states from a faded gambling center into a billionaires’ haven in more than half a century on the throne, died at the age of 81 on Wednesday, his palace said. April 05, 2005Court Given Darfur EvidenceThe UN yesterday gave prosecutors at the international criminal court the evidence it had gathered of the atrocities in Darfur, as a preliminary step to possible war crimes prosecutions. U.S. Re-Entry to Get Tougher for AmericansAmericans will need passports to re-enter the United States from Canada , Mexico, Panama and Bermuda by 2008, part of a tightening of U.S. border controls in an era of terrorist threat, three administration officials said Tuesday. April 04, 2005In MemoriamRoyal Australian Navy
Royal Australian Air Force
Killed in a recent helicopter crash while providing humanitarian relief to Indonesian civilians after the recent earthquake in the region. As regular readers of TCP may know, I’ve taught at ADFA (Australian Defence Force Academy). Midshipman Matthew Goodall was one of my students in 1999. Greater Love hath no man…. Canada's Scandal: The Government vs. The BlogospherePublication bans on explosive cases don’t mean much if you’re outside the country, but media outside a country often lack enough interested readers to care. The blogosphere is changing that - and now we’re seeing that change in Canada over an explosive political issue. Captain’s Quarters:
A snap election is indeed possible. The Liberals have some big choices ahead of them, and so do the other political parties - and somehow, blogs look set to be right in the middle of it all. Time for a little bit of background so our American readers can understand exactly what’s going on. There are a few key wrinkles here that won’t be obvious otherwise. April 02, 2005Pope John Paul II Dies at 84 - Views From Around the World [Updated]Pope John Paul II , the bold, humanitarian leader of the Roman Catholic Church, has died at 84, the Vatican announced in an e-mail Saturday. [to be updated] Pope hero of our time, or stuck in past? Who Will Be Next Pope? Pope’s last hours uplifted image of church he led Bush to Address Nation on Pope’s Death The pope who showed the church to the world An Epic Tale of One Man’s Life Shalom: Israel sends its condolences to Catholic Church Americans Recall Meeting the Pope Vatican rituals after the pope’s death Statement by Rabbi Eric Yoffie, President of the Union for Reform Judaism Vatian crowd moved to tears, applause Via Instapundit, The Teaching Company has made two lectures on the papal succession process available for free online. Channel Islands’ tribute to Pope Pilgrims Walk Stations of the Cross at Basilica in Honor of Pope Bush: ‘Catholic Church has lost its shepherd’ Statement by Catholic Charities USA President Rev. Larry Snyder on the Death of Pope John Paul II —— Weblogs with coverage: Ann Althouse From Dream of Italy: For those planning travel to Rome and/or following the events at the Vatican. These are the dates events are expected to take place. The Pope will lie in state in St. Peter’s Basilica. According to tradition, he will be buried on the 4th, 5th or 6th day following his death, which puts the burial on or between Wednesday, April 6 and Friday, April 8. The conclave begins at least 15 days and no more than 20 days after the death of the Pope. So it is expected to begin on or after April 17. Pope NewsPope John Paul II showed the first signs of losing consciousness at dawn on Saturday, the Vatican said, as priests around the world prepared the Roman Catholic faithful for his passing. Pope John Paul II has named nearly every cardinal who will elect his successor, but that does not mean the next pontiff will be just like him. Much speculation surrounds the upcoming choice of the cardinals. April 01, 2005Pope's Condition Worsens : End is NearFrom the ABC (Australian Broadcasting Corporation) : Pope John Paul II’s health has worsened, drawing anguished prayers from Catholics around the world reluctant to accept that his historic pontificate was at an end. Holy Mary, Mother of God, Pray for us sinners, now, and in the hour of our death. Angolan Marburg Outbreak Is Now The World's WorstReuters reports that with the death toll reaching 126 the outbreak of the Marburg virus in Angola has become the world’s worst. With 132 cases of the haemorrhagic fever recorded the mortality rate in the Angolan Outbreak is much worse than the 23 to 25 percent the CDC says is the usual mortality rate from Marburg. The fact that Angola suffered 27 years of civil war, leaving Angola’s health system in “tatters,” is the only explanation offered for the higher mortality rate. From California Yankee. Pope Has Heart Attack : Condition 'Stable'From the ABC (Australian Broadcasting Corporation) : Pope John Paul II is “fully conscious,” lucid and “extremely serene,” after suffering a heart attack and his condition seriously deteriorating overnight, his spokesman has said. Robi & Nitin's Indian Ocean Horizons: 2004-04-01Winds of Change.NET Regional Briefings run on Tuesdays & Wednesdays, and sometimes Fridays too. This Regional Briefing focuses on South Asia, courtesy of Robi Sen and Nitin Pai of The Acorn. THE ETERNAL TRIANGLE (OR SQUARE?)
Other Issues Include: Peeling the Skin off the Pakistani Onion; Peeling the Skin off India-Pakistan Relations; India, Energy, and Security; India - a Million Matinees Now; Keeping a Eye on Khan; The FBI is a Trusted Brand in Bangladesh; A Million Matinees in the Subcontinent, and much more. |