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Global Recon
March 31, 2005Pope Given Last RitesBreaking on CNN: Pope John Paul II has been given the last rites of the Roman Catholic Church as his health deteriorates. Pope John Paul II was given the last rites of the Roman Catholic Church late Thursday night as his health deteriorated, a Vatican source has told CNN. Officials Lower Indonesian Quake TollIndonesia’s government acknowledged Thursday it has been slow in delivering food and water to victims of the nation’s latest massive earthquake, as rescuers pulled survivors and bodies out of rubble on two islands. The government lowered its estimated death toll to between 400 and 500 people from an earlier estimate of 1,000; the United Nations, meanwhile, raised its toll to 624. Meanwhile, victims are slow to receive aid:
March 29, 2005Second Quake Rocks AreaA magnitude 5.8 temblor hit off Indonesia’s coast Tuesday, the latest in a series of aftershocks following the powerful earthquake that hit the region the day before, Hong Kong seismologists said. Quake Toll Will Be "Less Than Feared"/Conflicting ReportsInitial assessments by U.N. and Red Cross teams from two islands off the western coast of Indonesia indicate Monday’s quake will not be nearly as devastating as the December 26 quake. —— AP is reporting that the toll could still rise as high as 2,000. March 28, 2005Earthquakes and TsunamisThe following is a repost of an article I posted at Sortapundit on December 26th, before beginning my guest-posting at the Command Post. It regards the mechanics behind the generation of tsunamis by tectonic events. My professional opinion is that there will be no major tsunamis generated by this earthquake or any of its aftershocks. It has already been reported that there has been slight tsunami and high water activity, but nothing serious as of yet. The following is an unedited copy of the original, with only Dec. 26th specific information removed. It occurs to me that the general public learn much of what they know about tsunamis from Hollywood movies like The Day After Tomorrow - movies that tend to sacrifice fact for spectacular effects. I’m no expert, but I might as well use my soapbox to straighten out a few facts. To begin, the tsunamis were a symptom of an earthquake measuring 8.9 on the Richter scale. To give you some sort of idea of the power released during a quake of this magnitude, it’s equal to about 32 billion tons of TNT. As residents of LA will be aware, the Richter scale is a base-10 logarithmic scale, which means that an earthquake measuring 9.0 on the scale will release many times more energy than an 8.0 quake. The quake occurred just off the south coast of the Indonesian island of Sumatra, where the Eurasian and Indo-Australian tectonic plates meet. Those of you who have a firm grasp of plate tectonics can skip over the next paragraph, but for the rest of you… As you probably know, the surface of the earth is made up numerous sections known as tectonic plates. These plates effectively float on the dense, hot asthenosphere, a layer of the mantle in which the rock is hot enough to become pliable - to be able to deform without fracturing. Now, these tectonic plates move incredibly slowly - usually less than a few centimetres every year, and it’s where they meet each other that we get problems. The Eurasian plate and the Indo-Australian plate meet each other at Sumatra. The Indo-Australian plate is being forced underneath the denser Eurasian plate at a rate of about 6cm each year at the Java Trench (here is a simplified animation of the process). The movements of the two plates are what cause earthquakes. The stresses caused by the two plates scraping together force pressure to build in the rock until it discharges all at once, literally snapping. The faultline slips perhaps 10-15m, causing the displacement of huge volumes of water. 15 metres doesn’t sound like much, but you have to realise that this is 15 metres movement over maybe 1,000km of plate margin. The displaced sea water travels at speeds of up to 500mph, effectively invisible to the naked eye. The crest of the waves will only be a few feet high in open water, the only visible sign of the enormous volume of water speeding along under the surface. The momentum of the waves means that they can travel vast distances with little loss of energy. The 1960 earthquake off the coast of Chile created a tsunami that had enough energy to travel 10,000 miles in 22 hours until it hit land in Japan, killing about 150 people. Update - the Sumatran tsunami has now crossed almost 3,000 miles of ocean, killing at least 9 people in Somalia. As the waves approach land, and the sea floor rises, the water slows dramatically as the waves compress like an accordion, forcing them to pile up vertically. They draw water from the coastline, creating powerful undercurrents that can drag swimmers out to sea. The tsunamis don’t break like normal waves, but simply hit the coast like walls of water, destroying buildings, tossing boats into the air like toys, and smothering those who have been unable to escape under unimaginable volumes of water. It’s folly to think of a tsunami as just a large wave. It’s much more accurate to imagine that it is an extension of the sea, conquering the land and pushing back the coastline, in some cases by hundreds of metres. The 1993 tsunami at Okushiri, Japan reached 32m in height - the same as an 8-storey building. You can’t hide from that, and you sure as hell can’t try to swim to the surface. All you can do is run. Some of us have a head start. I wrote my dissertation on the gap in preparedness and aid for earthquakes between the developed and developing world and, tragically, most of the nations affected by today’s disaster have laughable warning systems. It’s been several years since I’ve looked into the subject but, last time I looked, India’s method of saving lives following tsunamis was to build refuges on stilts. Their warning system consisted of rusting air raid sirens from WW2. I hope they’ve improved in the last 5 years, but I wouldn’t bet on it. The Pacific, in comparison, is relatively well-prepared for tsunamis. Underwater sensors can alert us to approaching tsunamis, giving people living on the Pacific Rim adequate time to find high ground or flee inland. Unfortunately, such systems are not widely used in the Indian Ocean and Bay of Bengal due to the cost of installing and monitoring the sensors, and the relative rarity of tsunamis. Sumatra Earthquake Updates (As of 9:06 PM EST)
MSNBC reports that “No reports of injury or damage had been received from the region” so far. —- The quake lasted for about two minutes - far longer than most of the daily aftershocks that have rocked Aceh since Dec. 26. —- And now India is denying that there have been tsunami warnings issued. —- 2 PM EST Update:
—— Dozens Reported Dead in Indonesia
——— The quake has been “upgraded” to an 8.7. New reports coming in say close to 300 have been confirmed dead. “It is predicted - and it’s still a rough estimate - that the number the victim of dead may be between 1,000 and 2,000, Vice President Jusuf Kalla told the el-Shinta radio station. He said the estimate was based on an assessment of damage to buildings, not bodies counted. Northern Sumatra EarthquakeThe US Geological Survey is now reporting an 8.2 magnitude earthquake within the past hour, thirty kilometers deep nearly nine hundred miles northwest of Jakarta, Indonesia. Food-for-Oil Scandal About to EscalateArthur Chrenkoff covers positive news out of Iraq, while many members of the “mainstream” “media” ignore it. Roger L. Simon has been on the Enronesque U.N. Oil-for-
There will be follow-ups from both Simon and Rosett on the rest of Mouselli’s testimony, but they do offer some previews. Looks like a bombshell is about to hit. It will be interesting to see if the liberal media covers this, and how. Special Analysis: STRATCOM's 4-Star BloggerThis note was relayed and posted to Sgt. Stryker’s Daily Briefing, in the wake of Gen. Cartwright’s meeting with his senior Non-Comissioned Officers (NCOs):
If you have to ask where Gen. Cartwright’s blog is, you don’t have access. Now, what’s the larger significance, and will this really work? March 27, 2005Angola Virus SpreadingAustrailia’s Special Broadcasting Service reports that the Angolan outbreak of the Marburg virus is spreading:
From California Yankee. North Korea Confirms Bird Flu OutbreakCNN reports North Korea acknowledges that it has an outbreak of avian flu:
From California Yankee. March 26, 2005Iran Amassing Military EquipmentThe Associated Press reports that Iran is stockpiling arms and military equipment including armor-piercing snipers’ rifles and night-vision goggles. Iran’s buying spree has raised fears the arms could end up with militants in Iraq:
From California Yankee. March 25, 2005Hatewatch Briefing 2005-03-25Welcome! This briefing will be looking hard at the dark places the mainstream media sometimes seem determined to look away from, to better understand our declared enemies on their own terms and without illusions. Our goal is to bring you some of the top jihadi rants, idiotarian seething, and old-school Jew-hatred from around the world, leaving you more informed, more aware, and pretty disgusted every month. This Winds of Change.NET HateWatch briefing is brought to you by Lewy14, and by zorkmidden of Discarded Lies. Past briefings and posts on related topics can be found here. Entil’zha veni! HIGHLIGHTED TOPICS
March 24, 2005Kyrgyz Protesters Take Control of Presidential CompoundThousands of opposition protesters in Kyrgyzstan have stormed the main government building in the capital Bishkek and taken control of national television.
Kyrgyzstan is located in Central Asia, west of China. Map and stats about the country can be found here. More links and updates at Gateway Pundit. More background on the situation in this article. March 22, 2005Deadly Blast Rips Through Lebanese CityAn explosion rocked a Christian area north of Beirut early Wednesday. At least three people were killed, Reuters reported. March 20, 2005Powerful Earthquake in JapanA powerful magnitude-7.0 earthquake struck off the coast of southern Japan on Sunday, killing an elderly woman and injuring at least 381 people, damaging buildings and leaving residents shaken by aftershocks. Authorities issued a tsunami warning, but it was later canceled. March 17, 2005New Energy Currents: 2005-03-18Kyoto is one month old, and we’re no closer to figuring out a plan to solve the world’s ginormous energy problems - not that that’s necessarily a bad thing, at this point. With all the feverish activity in the realms of energy science, technology, and policy, we’ve got at least a couple of thousand flowers getting ready to bloom. Spring isn’t quite here yet in the freezing NYC, either, but I’m trying to be patient, you know? As all the brightly colored new technologies and approaches begin to compete in earnest for the public’s attention, acceptance, and tax dollars, New Energy Currents will do its best to continue giving you a broad overview of the, uh… bouquet. By John Atkinson of chiasm. North Korea to Expel U.N. Aid WorkersThe Washington Times reports that North Korea has announced that it will expel U.N. aid workers, claiming that their help is no longer needed:
The United Nations has triggered a flurry of diplomatic activity in Geneva, New York and Pyongyang to persuade the reportedly destitute Asian nation not to proceed with the move to close the Office of Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA), U.N. and Western diplomatic sources said. “We have been informed by North Korean authorities that they do not intend at the moment to welcome a new head of the OCHA office in Pyongyang when the present representative’s term expires in August,” Jan Egeland, U.N. undersecretary general for humanitarian affairs and OCHA chief, told reporters here yesterday. The announcement follows reports of a North Korean crackdown on defections, suspected dissenters, and foreign cell phones and videotapes, which are increasingly penetrating North Korea’s closed society. Yesterday, a Japanese TV network aired video of the public executions of eleven North Koreans for opposing the regime and aiding defectors. North Korea may perceive foreign aid workers as a threat to the wall of secrecy and isolation the regime has built between its citizens and the outside world. Sources familiar with the issue said the number of international staffers present in the country, including nongovernmental aid groups, has worried Pyongyang for some time. “There’s no need for [OCHA] to stay … once ongoing projects are finished,” a North Korean diplomatic source said on the condition of anonymity. “We need assistance, but not humanitarian. It should be development assistance such as machinery for agriculture,” the source said. Mr. Egeland said he was still hopeful he could persuade Pyongyang not to close the OCHA office. “In our view the humanitarian crisis is continuing. Still [there’s] a great shortage of food and there’s a great shortage of medicines,” he said. The World Food Program reports that 36% of North Koreans are undernourished, that 57% do not get enough to keep them healthy, and currently targets 6.5 million North Koreans (out of a total population of 22.4 million) for food aid. North Korea recently reduced its food rations to 250 grams per person per day, the equivalent of two medium-sized potatoes. March 16, 2005North Korea Publicly Executes Eleven in HoeryongDaily NK, a news site run by North Korean defectors, has posted a story and images captured from a video that, according to a Japanese TV network, shows political prisoners being brought before a firing squad. The video was taken in Hoeryong, which is emerging as a focal point of resistance. The pictures are very blurry and the usual cautions about authenticity apply, but Daily NK quotes defectors as confirming the location and suggesting that the tape is authentic. The video allegedly shows the “trials,” judgement, and of course, execution. The entire town was ordered to go to the scene and watch—including the children. Usually in North Korea, when public executions take place, the criminals are tied to a pillar and executors stand 10-15 m in front of him for a total of nine rounds of gun shot, three shots each to head, chest, and abdomen. When the criminal is shot, the rope breaks and the dead body falls forward. All of such scenes are contained in this video. Currently, North Korea is known to be the only country where public executions take place, with the public informed (and attends to), including children. Until now, North Korea has bluntly denied such public executions of shooting takes places in the country, which the accusations made by the international human rights organizations who reported and condemned of it. Unknown Illness Kills 59 in AngolaCuba’s Prensa Latina reports that 59 people have been died in one Angolan hospital from what may be Ebola hemorrhagic fever or hemorrhagic dengue:
From California Yankee. March 15, 2005Senior U.S. Diplomat Hints at 'Further Measures' Against North KoreaU.S. Ambassador to South Korea Christopher Hill, in a hearing for his confirmation to the post of Assistant Secretary of State for Asian and Pacific Affairs, has given the most explicit signal yet that the Bush Administration will not tolerate the continued lack of progress in the six-party talks. Reuters reports:
“[W]e need to see some progress here. If we don’t, we need to look at other ways to deal with this,” said Christopher Hill, U.S. ambassador to South Korea. Hill did not suggest that the United States intended to use force, hinting instead at a policy of economic isolation of the regime. Hill also stressed the Administration’s preference for a diplomatic solution. He went on to suggest that “any country doing any business” with North Korea should consider whether its activities encourage North Korea’s “bad behavior.” Hill singled out Russia by name, but his comments also appeared to have been aimed at China and South Korea, which is developing a massive low-wage industrial park in North Korea:
Hill criticized China for failing to exert sufficient pressure on North Korea to force it to return to the talks, saying, “It’s our view that China as the host of this process should make sure they get everybody to the table.” Ambassador-designate to South Korea Joseph DeTrani, currently the U.S. special envoy to the six-country talks, pointedly mentioned that China supplies 60 percent of North Korea’s energy and 60 percent of its food. The Senate Foreign Relations Committee voted to recommend that the full Senate confirm both Hill and De Trani. Japan, formerly a major trading partner of North Korea, imposed new shipping insurance requirements on March 1st. The new regulations, not formally styled as sanctions, have effectively blocked most trade with North Korea by imposing a financial requirement that few North Korean ships can afford. March 14, 2005800,000 Demonstrate Against Syria - UpdatedHundreds of thousands of opposition backers chanted “Freedom, Sovereignty, Independence” and unfurled a huge Lebanese flag in central Beirut on Monday, throwing the biggest protest yet in the opposition’s duel of street rallies with supporters of Syria and the Lebanese government.
Lebanese Staging Rallies Demanding ‘the Truth’ Behind Hariri Murder: With a crucial democratic protest planned for today, members of Lebanon’s opposition held a vigil last evening, setting out candles across a big swathe of downtown Martyrs’ Square to spell out in letters of flame, in Arabic and English, what they are seeking: “The Truth.” These demonstrators want the truth about who was behind the bomb blast that on February 14 killed Rafik Hariri, Lebanon’s former prime minister. Today’s protest will mark the four-week anniversary of his murder, which ignited Lebanon’s democratic uprising. The turnout will be closely watched worldwide, seen as the democratic opposition’s rejoinder to two rallies staged this past week by the terrorist group Hezbollah, which has now hitched its wagon - or, some fear, its rocket launchers - to the Cedar Revolution. Pakistan To Send Centrifuge Parts To IAEA For TestingAgence France-Presse reports that Pakistan is going to send used centrifuge parts to the UN atomic agency to help determine the origin of highly enriched uranium contamination found in Iran:
March 12, 2005Israel has planned the destruction of Iranian Nuclear FacilitiesLondon Times Online is reporting:
and another bit sure to raise some discussion: The plans have been discussed with American officials who are said to have indicated provisionally that they would not stand in Israel’s way if all international efforts to halt Iranian nuclear projects failed. Was wondering when this was gonna happen…that is IF the TimesOnline article is to be believed. March 10, 2005Pakistan Admits Scientist Gave Centrifuges to IranReuters reports that Pakistan admits Abdul Qadeer Khan, the father of Pakistan’s atomic bomb, provided Iran with centrifuges that can be used to purify uranium for nuclear weapons:
From California Yankee. Pro-Syrian Lebanese Premier ReappointedLebanon’s president, emboldened by a massive pro-Syria demonstration, reinstated Omar Karami as prime minister on Thursday, 10 days after the Damascus-backed leader stepped down under popular and international pressure. March 09, 2005Mount St Helens Erupting ?No details yet. Photo from Clancore Forums UPDATE : From MSNBC : The ash explosion happened around 5:25 p.m. [Tuesday], about an hour after a 2.0 magnitude quake rumbled on the east side of the mountain, said Bill Steele, coordinator of the Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network at the University of Washington. March 07, 2005Bush to Name Bolton as U.N. AmbassadorThe Washington Post reports that President Bush will name John Bolton as the new American Ambassador to the United Nations, signaling that the administration maybe be ready to make an international issue of human rights in North Korea, which allowed as many as two million of its people to starve to death while the regime squandered its coffers on arms and luxuries for its elite. The move also suggests that the administration may be ready to bring North Korea’s nuclear weapons program before the U.N. Security Council. North Korea recently withdrew from six-nation talks over its weapons programs. Recently, it has suggested that it may return to the talks in exchange for further concessions and aid from the United States. North Korea once famously called Bolton “human scum” over his comments about the state of human rights in North Korea. Bolton promises to be the most ideologically straightforward and hawkish ambassador since Jeanne Kirkpatrick. Bono may head World BankThe World Bank’s next president could be a rock star. March 05, 2005Assad Announces Lebanon Troop WithdrawalPresident Bashar Assad , responding to weeks of intense pressure, announced Saturday that Syria would move its troops to the Lebanese-Syrian border in a two-step pullback that he said should satisfy international demands for a complete pullout. Former Ukraine Politician Involved in Murder Case Found DeadUkraine’s former interior minister was found dead yesterday, hours before he was due to be questioned over the murder of an investigative journalist. Syria To Announce Troop Shift in LebanonThe Syrian President, Bashar al-Assad, is expected to announce a redeployment of troops in neighbouring Lebanon. March 03, 2005N. Korea Wants an Apology
March 01, 2005Lebanon President to Form New GovernmentLebanon’s president was taking on the task of forming a new government Tuesday, while opposition leaders shook off the jubilation of using people power to force out a pro-Syrian Cabinet and sought to ensure the next one is less beholden to Damascus. Also: Protesters Back on Beirut Streets; U.S. Offers Support
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