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Global Recon
April 23, 2004
Worst Train Disaster Ever : Update
News from North Korea is always difficult to get at the best of times. Here's what's being reported, mainly from Chinese sources: Cause(From Xinhua, via the AFP thence The Australian)China has revealed the cause of a train explosion in North Korea was leaking ammonium nitrate, state media reported. "The accident was caused by the leaking of ammonium nitrate in one of the trains," Xinhua cited the Chinese embassy in Pyongyang as saying. It said the embassy had set up a special team to deal with the accident and was providing "essential assistance" to the victims(From Chosun Ilbo) The trains were reportedly carrying petroleum and natural gas when they collided. Red Cross, UN Food Agency allowed to help(From the AAP via The Australian )Pyongyang has accepted help from the United Nations following a serious train crash in North Korea and several aid agencies will be sent to the area, the UN's food agency said today.(From the Chosun Ilbo) A Red Cross official in Beijing said Friday that North Korea has asked the organization to visit the site of Thursday night's massive train collision and subsequent explosion. Casualties(From the Chosun Ilbo again)Up to 3,000 people were killed or injured when two trains loaded with fuel collided and exploded at a North Korean station near the Chinese border, Chinese sources said.(From a later report from the same source) According to a source in the Chinese border town of Dandong, not only was Ryongcheon Station destroyed in the blast, but so were the nearby school and a large number of civilian dwellings; casualties are presumed to be very high, Yonhap News reported.Satellite Photos before and after would seem to confirm this. (UPDATE : the "after" photo has been revealed as incorrect. Thanks to reader Angie Schultz for bringing this to our attention.) (From the AFP/Reuters via the ABC in Australia)A blast believed to have been caused by explosives on rail wagons has killed 54 people and injured 1,249 people in North Korea, a Red Cross spokesman has said, quoting North Korean authorities.It would be difficult to imagine a worse combination than Mining Explosives, Natural and LPG (Liquified Petroleum Gas) all going up together. There could have been a BLEVE (Boiling Liquid Expanding Capour Explosion) much like 1000+ FAE (Fuel Air Explosion) bombs going off at once. Such an explosion would have been larger than many tactical nuclear warheads, including all the "suitcase nukes". Not Hiroshima sized, but possibly 1/5 of that. The Satellite Photos appear to show damage that is less than could be expected given these circumstances (ie no BLEVE), but the casualty total is undoubtedly and tragically much, much higher than current official figures. For North Korea to actually ask for help is unprecedented - things must be truly dire. UPDATE : Don't expect any announcement from the DPRK soon though:From The Australian : Isolated North Korea threw its customary blanket of silence today over an explosion on a rail line in a northern city that may have killed or injured thousands of people.And from the the same ABC report quoted earlier : Meanwhile, officials at the North Korean border and hospitals in the Chinese border city of Dandong are denying dealing with casualties from the train crash.Posted by Alan Brain at April 23, 2004 06:59 AM | TrackBack Comments
Is it me or do the pictures don't seem to be of the same place, even after you account for the large fireball in the middle? Posted by: Brian at April 23, 2004 09:57 AM Frankly, the "after" picture... if it is what it looks like... appears more like a "during" picture. Do we really have enough satellite imaging capacity to be monitoring every out of the way burg 24/7? I don't think so. So... I guess we were just lucky to be watching THAT spot at THAT time? Right? Posted by: Chris at April 23, 2004 10:09 AM Chris : No, that's just the fire afterwards. But you can be sure that a flash that large would attract the attention of all sorts of satellite-born Nuclear Blast warning systems, and that many lenses would be focussed on the area PDQ. Posted by: Alan E Brain at April 23, 2004 10:19 AM Alan: The pic is pretty crappy, and I'm willing to accept the possibility that this is just the after-fire or even a secondary explosion, but it looked to me like a pretty contained smoke plume, i.e. there's no "earlier" smoke... (unfortunately, the link no longer works, hmmm.)
Posted by: Chris at April 23, 2004 12:28 PM Just thought of another...
Posted by: Chris at April 23, 2004 12:31 PM In other words, the “after” photo could be a complete hoax.
Posted by: Angie Schultz at April 23, 2004 04:54 PM Angie :
Posted by: Alan E Brain at April 24, 2004 03:32 AM Post a comment
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