September 20, 2003
The European Union and Iran
Here is one story:
WHEN confronted with difficult questions about its nuclear programme, Iran's strategy has been to play for time. That approach backfired badly last week when the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) expressed its collective exasperation with Iran's evasive attitude. Instead of buying more time, Iran now faces a deadline of October 31st to dispel doubts about its nuclear ambitions.
When the 34 other members of the IAEA's governing board adopted a strongly-worded resolution, Iran's representative, Ali Akbar Salehi, walked out of the proceedings in anger. He should not have been surprised. Concern over Iran's nuclear activities has been mounting on both sides of the Atlantic. France and Germany share American suspicions about the nature of Iran's programme, and the European Union has presented a united front to the government in Tehran. But Iran mistakenly pinned its hopes on non-aligned governments blocking an American-backed resolution.
The result was a diplomatic disaster for a country that has made a priority of courting Europe as a buffer against America. Muhammad Khatami's reformist government counted the improved relations with European governments as one of its few successes. But the nuclear issue has exposed the limits of its authority.
And here is another:
Britain, France and Germany have sent a letter to Iran to resolve the stalemate over inspections of an alleged nuclear arms program, raising US concern of a split in the Western front on this issue, according to officials in Paris and Vienna.
In Paris, the French foreign ministry confirmed the sending of the letter in August but denied that it offered a deal with Tehran.
Foreign Ministry spokesman Herve Ladsous said the three European states had called on Iran to make a "strong gesture" by signing an additional protocol to allow surprise visits to suspect sites by international inspectors.
In Vienna, a diplomatic source at a meeting of the UN nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), told AFP however that the letter had proposed increased cooperation, without providing further details.
(Also posted on my blog.)
Posted by Pejman at September 20, 2003 02:21 PM
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This sounds familiar. "Disarm by October 31 or else."
I wonder if the answer will be "or else what?" again?
Posted by: TBox at September 21, 2003 04:28 AM
Knowing these guys its "or else we will pass another resolution condeming you." Ooh - scary!
Posted by: adam at September 21, 2003 04:11 PM
..this is getting so old,or else what ,again we have to cover the worlds sorry ass..
Posted by: Rob..NC at September 21, 2003 07:19 PM
Well if an Country developes Nuclear Weapons, should it be invaded before it's ready?
Sound exactly like this. Someone really seem to be scared to lose power.
At last Nuclear deterrence worked quite good over decades, and Countries gathering Nuclear weapons are not really uncommon, so i think someone need a more pragmatic approach to this.
See Israel, Pakistan or India.
Japan and Germany and most European countries could build them if they want. It's not a real technological problem. It's also not really a problem for Countries like Brasil, Mexico or several other countries around the Globe to develop Nuclear Weapons on their own knowledge and Science.
So what to do with all these Countries that might be able to develop Nukes on their own in the next decades? And they will, because Mr. Bushs tactic about premptive Wars will force them to do this step to keep their souvereignity.
Invade them all? Bomb their Reactors? Nuke them?
Sounds not like a plan, sorry.
Don't forget Atomic Bomb technology exist since 1945. That's not really new technology.
I think it's unavoidable that these technology will spread, even without proliferation. To control this and to prevent missuse should be the goal to reach. Not the pure denial.
That's the point i think. If Iran developes Nukes without primary help from outside, these nukes are their nukes, just like the US nukes belong to US.
Only if they break the non proliferation treaty, wich would they automatically do if they don't develop these weapons on their own, they would be punishable in a way. But even this don't justifies an invasion.
Beside this there is not even hard evidence Iran do develop nukes.
Why had the USA developed Nukes, ever asked yourself? Because they are cool?
It's expensive so they probably had a reason don't think so?
Well for all non Historicans as you usually are i can tell you, because they feared Nazi Germany or Japan could had been faster, wich would have probably ended the War with a diffrent result as we know.
So fear created the US Atomic Bomb, beside a large budget. I think the reasons for other Countries who want to develop Atomar Bombs are compareable. Pakistan developed them because they feared to be overrun from India. Israel because they feared after the Jom Kippur War they could be overrun by Egypt or other Arabic nations.
North Korea developed them because they fear since the Korean War they could be overrun by US forces. And so on.
It's anyway what you do. Countries with nukes will popup like mushrooms in the next 2 or 3 decades.
Hopefully the nukes they create don't.
But that's a matter of negotiation, not Wars.
Wars will not be very helpful to solve that problem. Especially the diffrent treatment of Iraq and NK makes all countries want to have nukes. Independence and souvereignity seem somehow linked to have nukes is their perception.
The US forces still struggle in Iraq because of wrong intelligence. Such a wrong intelligence could be next time fatal if the opponent really has nukes unexpectedly.
Another reason not to go to War with a Nuke possessing suspected country.
There are other more safe working options.
Posted by: Nobody at September 24, 2003 09:26 PM
How soon the world forgets.
For most of 30 years, the US defended against the bent-on-world-domination Soviet Union with a policy of MAD. We built and deployed literally tens of thousands of nuclear and thermonuclear warheads. We aimed them, and cocked them, and held our fingers just off the triggers.
Enough weapons to destroy every living thing on the planet, many times over. What was the message we were sending?
That America would NEVER be conquered. That we would destroy the world before we would knuckle under.
And so now various tinhorn thugocracies have concluded that if they build a couple of little nukes, this will somehow cow the US into submission.
Guess again. We were willing to use nuclear weapons before, we HAVE used them before, and we're willing to do it again. We don't want to, but be assured that we will.
Iran, NK, and others should stop and consider just what we were saying to the world during the Cold War. And also consider what has happened to those who have threatened us lately. And then consider how we might respond if threatened with nuclear weapons.
Posted by: Gannet at September 26, 2003 11:36 AM
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