The Command Post
Iraq
April 07, 2003
One guy sold them out

Monsor Ijaz of Fox: Middle East Intel service -- they had plans to leave -- they thought that this was the last night that they would be together. One guy who was supposed to be at the meeting sold them out and skipped out. There was no way that the two sons would be in the same room unless this was the last goodbye.

Rita Cosby: My intel sources are giving me some more details... They said that the Friday video was Saddam, and recent. Another detail... they have been able to track Saddam much more than we realized because of the Jaguar voice encryption system that uses Cell phone technology. Very complex -- told Saddam that it was impossible to break. But that was back in Iran/Iraq war. they've broken it and have been able to track his movements. Were close to getting him 4 or 5 times. Had 3 human sources plus the Jaguar source. I am told that they were able to listen in. That they were standing 4-6 meters away from one another. They were talking about plans for leaving Iraq.

Posted By Martin Devon at April 7, 2003 11:05 PM | TrackBack
Comments

How about Tariq Aziz as the betrayer . . . or even the Info Minister. The latter has definitely done a lot of good work gaining Saddam's trust the past few days . . .

Posted by: Dr. Sardonicus at April 7, 2003 11:10 PM

One guy: "so, you guys get together over there, and I'll catch up with you after the bomb... er, I mean, after... I call... my mom."

Posted by: Dogone at April 7, 2003 11:10 PM

Heh! No honor among thieves.

Posted by: DSmith at April 7, 2003 11:10 PM

I still have trouble believing it. I think they're still roaming around. Any word on if Saddam's daughters were at the meeting too? Why would they collect in baghdad for a meeting when they could escape and meet elsewhere?

Posted by: spin at April 7, 2003 11:12 PM

Ya know, that Tariq Aziz never was very trustworthy. And I don't think he's gotten a bit nicer since the days when he played Larry Tate on "Bewitched."

Posted by: FastEddie at April 7, 2003 11:14 PM

Aziz is no dummy; it could have been him. The information minister is an idiot; he is too loyal.

Posted by: jim at April 7, 2003 11:14 PM

Please note, Skippy the Information Minister, who appears in every "canned" scene with Saddam shown up till now, was on CNN this afternoon. (Check down some links to "1:17 AM" Iraq time)
So that means he survived unless that CNN interview was taped the night (our time) before.

Posted by: Bob W. at April 7, 2003 11:14 PM

I like the "Larry Tate" theory...

Posted by: Scho at April 7, 2003 11:16 PM

Good to hear that Skippy survived. I wanna party with that guy.

Posted by: Dr. Sardonicus at April 7, 2003 11:17 PM

Yes. Larry Tate.

Posted by: General Patton, in France at April 7, 2003 11:17 PM

I thought he did a pretty good job as Larry Tate...how he ever got hooked up with a loon like Saddam, I guess we'll just have to wait for the Barbara Walters interview to find out.

Posted by: Curt at April 7, 2003 11:19 PM

I hope Baghdad Bob survived. I hope he turned Saddam in. This is guy is too funny not to have his own sitcom.

Posted by: phred at April 7, 2003 11:19 PM

Party with BaghdadBob? Like hell. I think I'm gonna get my company to hire him for a tech support role. Imagine that: "You think it isn't working? Yes it is. It is an illusion. Just keep clicking. It is fine. Thank you very much. Goodbye."

Posted by: FastEddie at April 7, 2003 11:19 PM

If it was Aziz, we'll never hear about it. Aziz is a Christian, and if he turned in Saddam, it would further fuel "jihad" against Christians in the Arab world (like these guys need any fuel).

Aziz could wind up with a new name, a nose job, and a nice home outside of Houston.

Posted by: phred at April 7, 2003 11:20 PM

FastEddie - that's genius. I work in IT, I should have thought about that.

Posted by: phred at April 7, 2003 11:21 PM

Don't count on it. Four bunker busters? There won't be enough left in that crater for souvenir hunters, let alone for forensic folks to make a positive ID. We have just made Saddan immortal.

Posted by: John Van Laer at April 7, 2003 11:24 PM

I do think Baghdad "Skippy" Bob would have done quite well as an official spokesman for a major software company with whom we're all familiar. Alas, his resumé is hopelessly corrupted by now.

Posted by: General Patton, in France at April 7, 2003 11:24 PM

Fast Eddie - ROFL. That was great! HA. Get in line, I'm bringing him in as a full partner. VP-PR. LOL

Posted by: The Agnostic at April 7, 2003 11:24 PM

I work in IT too. And the more obstructive the lower-level support guys are, the less likely I'm gonna get called. I thought of it the very first time I heard him speak...

Posted by: FastEddie at April 7, 2003 11:24 PM

There is no virus on the network! The infected emails are committing suicide at the border routers!

Posted by: smf at April 7, 2003 11:26 PM

Just don't let Dogbert get anywhere near him....

Posted by: Knitting a Conundrum at April 7, 2003 11:29 PM

That's my take. Our helpdesk is more like a glorified receptionist. Baghdad Bob could simply confuse the Hell out of someone, and make them give up.

The Internet is slow because you are looking at PORN! Go, infidel, commit suicide at the gates! We will be victorious!

Posted by: phred at April 7, 2003 11:32 PM

It is not a bug. It is a feature.

Posted by: General Patton, in France at April 7, 2003 11:33 PM

"I've got a wild theory about Sahaf. Think COINTELPRO." - me, 2:19PM Pacific here.

Just in case...

Posted by: Lonewacko at April 7, 2003 11:34 PM

Ya know, Baghdad Bob could have sold him given the timing. It would make sense.

"Sorry sir, I can't make the meeting. I promised to give a press conference, and it'll look like you're dea...er...losing control if I don't show up."

Posted by: Phil Hornsey at April 7, 2003 11:37 PM

Can you imagine Baghdad Bob saying "the optics don't look good, fearless leader"?

Posted by: CERDIP at April 7, 2003 11:43 PM

If this attempt failed Saddam now knows not to use his "Jaguar" system any longer. Thanks Rita and Fox News for yet again giving aid and comfort to the enemy.

Hell - Churchill let Coventry get bombed rather than let the Nazis learn about a SIGINT source.

AAAAARRRRRGGGGGHHHHHH

Posted by: Richard Armstrong at April 7, 2003 11:54 PM

Eh, Saddam hasn't proven to be as smart as bin Laden.
If he had been, he would have known that his field commanders were lying to him and the US Army was already encircling the city.

Posted by: Dishman at April 7, 2003 11:58 PM

If the Minister of Silly Talks has actually been working for us all along, then hand that guy the friggin' Oscar.

Posted by: Chuckg at April 8, 2003 12:01 AM

So that is why he was smiling during the press conference today!

Posted by: MissPepper at April 8, 2003 12:16 AM

I hope we really got him this time, otherwise we will never convince the locals that he isn't supernatural...

Then winning them over will be even harder...

Posted by: JackRyan at April 8, 2003 12:25 AM

MissPepper...I bet it was :-)

Posted by: mike lawson at April 8, 2003 12:27 AM

I read something today about an Iraqi general turning coat, giving information. He was promised a new home and identity--maybe England. Perhaps that's how they got the information.

Posted by: Meryl Yourish at April 8, 2003 01:00 AM

Meryl -- not nearly close enough to the inner circle, plus not nearly timely enough, I think.

I'm going to go with Lonewacko on this one - Sahaf's disconnection with reality is just too perfect. He makes these wild claims, all the while smiling because he knows that he's going to get the upper hand on Saddam at some point. He goes to the restaurant, says "oh heck, I left the stove on at home - back in a bit!" and calls into his CIA handler.

Posted by: Jonathan at April 8, 2003 01:06 AM

If Rita and Fox News announced this it was only because an official source told them. They sure as hell didn't figure it out for themselves.

Posted by: Au Naturel at April 8, 2003 01:13 AM

So, reading up on some of the latest Jaguar technology (available from, say, the NIST), I find that the Jaguar that I could find on NIST's site provides FIPS 140-1 compliance for encryption, using "DES". Now, that's remarkably vague.

Looking here, we find that the largest size key used is 64 bits. By way of comparison, your web browser, in secure mode, provides 128 bits of encryption, and even that shouldn't be that hard for the most technologically advanced snoops in the world to break quickly.

That is to say, if this equipment was sold to him by Great Britain in 1988, as Cosby noted, he's an idiot for using it. Breaking 40 bit DES is so trivial that no one should use it, because the computing power needed to break it quickly is probably available on your desk. 64 bits is orders of magnitudes harder, but keep in mind this is the NSA we're talking about here. Throw a teraflop machine at the problem and decryption of 64 bit DES is probably done in real-time. I don't have the exact numbers on that but it's got to be close.

If Saddam was trusting a Jaguar phone from 1988, he deserves what he gets. Anyone who has an ounce of sense would use something more secure, like this, or this).

Posted by: Jonathan at April 8, 2003 01:19 AM

Personally, I don't think Saddam is at all smart. The fact that he used electronics! And, electronics given to him by the people that currently want him dead!

A friend said if he had been smart, he should have used messengers with a written code.

And, yet again, tonight, I wait with bated breath, staying up late, just to get my daily entertainment with Baghdad Bob. Please, let him be on!

Posted by: Ninjababe at April 8, 2003 01:25 AM

I doubt it's the Information Minister who betrayed; the Info. Minister probably isn't invited to these secret senior security meetings because of the fear of such an attack. If the Information Minister doesn't show up on TV for a few days, it's a bad sign for the regime and could lead the Iraqi people to take the hint that Saddam is gone. The Info. Minister has been so ubiquitous as of late that his absence would be quickly noticed, and this would create problems for Saddam. So I doubt that Saddam keeps his Info. Minister close. Also, I'm not sure that someone could have betrayed Saddam. I think that if Saddam had noticed, at the beginning of the meeting, that someone was missing, he would cancel it and move the crowd to another bunker. For a man on the run, that seems like too simple a mistake to make. As for Tariq Aziz, we haven't seen him at all during the war. Could he be dead?

Most likely, I think that it's a combination of surveillance intercepts which gave the Allies an idea and were followed up by on-the-ground human research. The US and Britain have an eye and ear in Baghdad, and I have to imagine they can listen to any conversation happening in the city. Maybe they've tracked one general or official, unbeknownst to the poor soul, and are using him as an unwitting tool to destroy Saddam.

The point is really this: We don't know, and we may never know, how this came about. Let's just hope we have the right guy.

Posted by: Justin Weitz at April 8, 2003 01:37 AM

DES uses 56 bit keys. It can be cracked fairly easily using custom hardware, or by throwing enough resources at it. See http://www.eff.org/descracker.html for a description of a hardware DES cracker that the EFF built. And that was back in '98, five years ago. They can probably get pretty close to real time cracking now, perhaps a delay of a few hours.

Posted by: Ernst Blofeld at April 8, 2003 02:50 AM

"Any word on if Saddam's daughters were at the meeting too?"

I doubt that they would be there; brutal regime stuff is the province of sons and men. Still though, betrayal by a revengeful daughter (since Saddam murdered their husbands) has a touch of plausibility.

z

Posted by: ziphius at April 8, 2003 03:39 AM

of course expect a lot of disinformation from our govt. too. why give away the farm? but there must be some reason why they put so much ordinance on that spot.

i am sure a cover, a semi cover a deep cover and a real story exist.

we may never know

but i would guess that if a human betrayed him, that this person has a "get out of jail free" card with a new face and home in the witness protection programs

Posted by: iceman at April 8, 2003 05:39 AM

Q: Who has blonde hair, blue eyes, large breast, and is living in Sweden?

A: Tariq Aziz

Posted by: Joe at April 11, 2003 01:12 PM
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