The Command Post
Iraq
March 27, 2003
Fedayeen Resistance Unexpected?

From an article that's been on the web since February 10

Saddam convinces thousands of hard core supporters to fight to the death.

So eminently possible that it ought be taken as a given for planning purposes. If we are not prepared to deal with the aftermath of this state of affairs, someone has been criminally irresponsible.

On February 7 Jim Dunnigan outlined (with one minor change - lack of Turkish support) pretty much exactly what has been happening in the last week. Too long to quote in full, go read it.

Excerpts:

..an initial bombing campaign of only a few hours might be sufficient to paralyze the Iraqis. Right after that, the ground attack could start.
...

Depending on how many Iraqi units could be convinced to surrender ahead of time, the first phase of the ground war would end in a few days, with most of the Iraqi armed forces either bombed or prisoners. The second phase would concentrate on the Republican Guard, and any other units still loyal to Saddam, and Baghdad. The bombing would be going on around the clock, and Special Forces, commandos and CIA teams on the ground would be searching out new targets (like SCUD launchers and chemical weapons units)
..
More realistically, in order to minimize American casualties, the campaign would more likely be fought over a longer period of time.

No battle plan survives contact with the enemy of course, but this comes closer than most.

Posted By Alan E Brain at March 27, 2003 07:29 AM | TrackBack
Comments

Who said it was unespected?

Posted by: Alisa at March 27, 2003 08:29 AM

"Unexpected".

Posted by: Alisa at March 27, 2003 08:30 AM

Haven't you been reading the New York Times? Or watching the BBC? :-)
Seriously, it's been reported as anything from a major disaster to an utter catastrophe by some sections of the media. And always a complete surprise, sometimes by people who should know better.

Posted by: Alan E Brain at March 27, 2003 09:08 AM

The Israelis are right. The Americans are way ahead of the game. Only two things matter at this stage:

1) The bridges - perhaps because they expected a long air campaign first, or special forces cut a lot of wires, the Iraqis weren't able to blow them despite having them wired for demolition. Huge win for the Allies.

2) The Oil fields. A terrible ecological catastrophe averted. For similar reasons.

You'd hardly believe these same people brought you the Space Shuttle. (Sorry, cheap shot.)

- - - - - - - - - - - -

iraq-war.com leads to completeconfusion.com

Posted by: Joe Thorpe at March 27, 2003 02:43 PM
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