The Command Post
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The 2004 US Presidential Election
July 14, 2003
Dean, Kerry Showdown Looms

poll71403.jpgNow the Boston Globe has dean in the NH finals:

With the nation's leadoff primary a litttle more than six months away, Kerry and Dean have emerged as the leading choices among likely Democratic voters in New Hampshire, with the two New Englanders consistently outpolling the seven other candidates for the party's 2004 presidential nomination.

Kerry has led by as many as 12 percentage points, but Dean's recent success in outraising the field, with $7.5 million in the quarter that ended June 30, the Internet and grass-roots effort that propelled it, and the media attention it has attracted, have raised the stakes for Kerry. A near-favorite son candidate in New Hampshire, Kerry could be severely wounded by a loss -- or merely a close victory -- in the Jan. 27 primary, especially if Dean surpasses him eight days earlier in the kickoff Iowa caucuses.

And here are the caveats for the polling data: Results of American Research Group poll of 600 registered Democrats and undeclared New Hampshire voters. Margin of error +/– 4 percentage points. Candidates getting less than 5 percent are not shown.

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