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2004 US Presidential Election: Misc.
November 14, 2004There needs to be a debunking of Voting Irregularities.Now Lonewacko wants to debunk this article by saying he’s a Newsmax editor. However the man does have good points. With the election over now and President Bush is still clearly the winner of the 2004 Election, Democrats left and right have been coming up with accusation except for one thing they lacked. Which Howard Troxler points out: Evidence. Lonewacko wants Kerry President as evident in his blog however I still stand with the stance that Kerry conceded and lost the election to a War Incumbent which no President has ever been voted out during a war (Jefferson [Tripoli War], Madison [War of 1812], Lincoln [Civil War], Roosevelt [World War II], Johnson [Vietnam War]). Kerry also lost to a President that won by more than 3.9 million votes and 286 electoral votes. Especially the fact that the last 3 Democrat Presidents (Arkansas, Texas, Georgia) came from the South which Democrats are saying “Forget the South, we can win without them”. One thing has been put to rest. The Redskin Football game which they lost and the incumbent should lose, Bush won. I’ll mention a couple strong points from the article I linked. CLAIM: Kerry really won Ohio. There are still 155,000 or so uncounted provisional and absentee ballots. If by some miracle Kerry got almost all of them, he would win. A miracle. Furthermore, there also were 93,000 “spoiled” ballots in Ohio that, had they gone to Kerry by a miraculously large margin . . . uh, well, still wouldn’t have been enough. By the way, there were fewer undervotes and overvotes than in 2000. CLAIM: A machine in Franklin County, Ohio, recorded an extra 3,893 votes for Bush. This is perfectly true, and one of at least two serious machine mistakes around the country. When the results cartridge of an older-generation machine was plugged in to the counter, it reported almost 4,000 extra votes for Bush, when only 638 people had voted in the precinct. At the risk of being labeled part of the plot, I want to point out that they caught this obvious mistake. You can’t “stuff’ the ballot box. There is a signed, independent record of how many people voted. And Kerry conceded in the election and there is no way he can get the Presidency even if Kerry won by some miracle. When Inauguration Day comes, the voting irregularity will simply fade away. Interesting thing I heard today, in Ohio, provisional ballots matter for Kerry but apparently in Washington, those provision ballots didn’t matter for the Democrat Candidate Gregoire. So those provisional ballots were thrown out by a judge which the Democrat Party contested and took to court which they won. Since that Gregoire is losing by a slim margin of 2,000+ to Dino Rossi and is expected to increase as more provisional ballots gets counted. Oh Washington Government is the source of the votes counted which is accurate. If you’re looking at USA Today, Fox News, or CNN, they’re outdated You be the judge. November 11, 2004Paige plans still in the air - Education chief hasn't told friends or staff if he will resignWhen former Houston schools Superintendent Rod Paige accepted President Bush’s offer to join his Cabinet as education secretary four years ago, he told friends he didn’t want to work past his 70th birthday. Technically, he could take his old job back at HISD… UPDATE: November 07, 2004Kerry Supporter Commits Suicide at Ground ZeroApparently a Kerry supporter was so upset at Bush’s win that he traveled to Ground Zero and shot himself (hat tip). November 06, 2004Cofer Black ResignsPresident Bush’s point man for international counterterrorism policy has quit, the first resignation by a senior official to be made public since Bush’s reelection, a U.S. official said on Friday. November 04, 2004So ... Now What?[Update: I’m keeping this post up front all day … there’s new news just below. Also, for new readers, typically this sort of thing is on the Publisher’s Desk, a page you may not have yet seen. ~ Alan] Well, there you go. Whew. Exhaaaaale. It’s over. Right, Left, or Nader … it’s done. Boy. We started this page on June 8th, 2003, with a post that read Democratic Presidential Hopefuls In Eastern Iowa. And with that, the blogging of the race here was on … before Dean, before Blogs for Bush, before them all. 2,981 entries, 17,592 comments, and two nominating conventions later, it’s over. Want a walk down memory lane? Click any of the categories over in the left-hand column under “Search The Post,” like “Clark” or “Moseley-Braun” or “Boston” … . (cough cough) Ummm. Yes. So … now what? Keep this page? Make it about politics in general? Sort of a National Journal for the People? Kill it? Relegate it to the archives (ours and that of the Library of Congress)? Leave it here, like the Monolith in 2001 … a sentinel of something that came before, that we still don’t fully understand, but if we examine, we gain new knowledge? Or should we just drink a beer, look back at all the news, all the history, and in particular, all the posts from our 86 citizen journalist “Command Post Pajamhadeen” over the past three days, and say, “boy, that was fun?” I’d like to know … what would you like to see next? Alternate Universe: Bush LostOk, I know we’re all pretty happy with Bush winning re-election; But let’s turn the tables a little bit. Say Ohio went the other way? Post the articles you would’ve written in the light of a President-elect Kerry. Cross-posted at Extraordinary Convergence Michael Moore's Last Words on November 1st.....….. before he severed the links on his website to any of the content. But despite being known for his thoroughness and precision, he unaccountably left the site in place : where an intrepid TCP reporter (or 10-year-old child) could access it in, oh, 5 seconds?. So here’s a quote from his Day Before post. There’s a reason Bush calls Kerry the Number One Liberal in the Senate – THAT’S BECAUSE HE IS THE NUMBER ONE LIBERAL IN THE SENATE! What more do you want? My friends, this is about as good as it gets when voting for the Democrat. We don’t have the #29 Liberal running or the #14 Liberal or even the #2 Liberal – we got #1! When has that ever happened? It seems that many Americans believed him, and voted accordingly. That’s it. See you at the polls – and at the victory party tomorrow night. And from November 2nd, as polls opened : It’s just a quick call to say “hi” and “PLEASE get to the polls as soon as possible.” Hence the “fictitious” pro-Kerry results from the Exit polls… P.S. To the millions of 18 to 29-year-olds I’ve met or seen on this tour, I truly believe YOU are the ones who are going to make the difference today. …by staying away in droves, they did. So who said Michael Moore was 10 Things Kerry Should Have ChangedOK - let’s not get too carried away with Bush’s victory. The fact of the matter is that the result of the election hung on just 68,000 voters in Ohio. That’s just 1.25% of the total Ohio vote. If 68,000 people in Ohio voted for Kerry instead of Bush - then we would have had a dead heat and the Ohio ballots would be in the courts today - giving us the 2000 election all over again. John Kerry came within 68,000 votes of possibly winning the Presidency. Let that sink in for a moment. Personally, I think John Kerry screwed up in a big way. His campaign was an embarrassment of poor decision making. Looking back - here are the 10 things Kerry should have changed which would have won him the election. Continue reading - No Way to Run a Campaign - 20/20 Hindsight Department of Redundancy Department IICNN is reporting “Just over half — 51 percent — of 621 American adults surveyed said they were pleased with the outcome of the presidential election”. Well duh, as noted in the next paragraph, “He [Bush] also picked up 51 percent of the popular vote on his way to victory.” What part of, “Bush won with 51%,” do they not understand? I would file this under the “I can’t believe they acutally voted for Bush and are happy about it” department, but I suspect this is just a bit of journalistic laziness. How the USA Voted - County By County, 2000-2004From USA Today : The Situation in 2000. The Situation in 2004. And from Modern Crusader, The Situation as some now see it
Media Bias at CNN? Say it ain't so...Well, the picture says it all. Go and check it out for yourself. Cross-posted at Extraordinary Convergence. November 03, 2004George Soros' Future PlansFrom Newshounds “We watch Fox so you don’t have to” : When asked what he planned to do if Kerry lost the election, Soros said that he plans to enter a monastery for a time because he will need to contemplate what is wrong with the people of this country. Hat Tip : Tim Blair The Second InaguralKerry is to speak at 2 EST, and Bush at 3 EST. As I reflected on what Bush might say now, and what he might say in his inagural, I kept returning to another second inagural address, also given at a time of great national import.Fellow countrymen …- Abraham Lincoln, Saturday, March 4, 1865 My Two CentsI suppose because I’m a declared centrist and someone who has tried to remain as bi-partisan on these pages as possible … and because I’ve been so close to the news, including attending both conventions … I’ve had lots of questions today about what I make of the election (as an “observer”). I’ve posted my thoughts over on the Op-Ed page … yes, after helping run this place for 18 months, I finally posted original writing on Op-Ed. It’s just my impressions … again, as a centrist and as someone who’s been immersed in both sides of the story since last June. Hope you find it thought-provoking. Mary Beth Cahill: We Still BelieveStatement from Kerry Campaign Manager Mary Beth Cahill on Ohio: “The vote count in Ohio has not been completed. There are more than 250,000 remaining votes to be counted. We believe when they are, John Kerry will win Ohio.” Markets Expect Bush Win
Highest Vote Count Since JFK v. Nixon
Changeover to Southern Hemisphere CrewAlan and Michele have gone for a well-earned rest. The Australian arm of TCP took over about 30 mins ago, and has been tracking the AP poll, CNN Asia, and BBC World in between updates. The AP poll hasn’t changed for a while, but all commentators are saying Bush is back. No Rest For the WickedIt’s 3 a.m. on the East Coast, which is why I must be lonely. The Oregon vote count is still trickling in, and Kerry/Edwards is still hanging all of their hopes on Ohio. I’m getting tired, but at least it’s only midnight here, so when I hop my butt onto my bike to commute to work tomorrow morning, I’ll be hopping with at least six hours of sleep. If Bush wins New Mexico, Nevada, and/or Iowa, and if Ohio goes the way Republicans seem convinced it will go, I predict that Kerry/Edwards will not be “fighting for every vote” and instead will call it a day. As far as actual results (rather than speculation), according to CNN at 12:05 a.m. Pacific Time, 98% of Ohio is in, with Bush beating Kerry by about 139,000 votes. That means that even if all of the estimate 130,000 provisional votes are valid, and they all go to Kerry — Kerry still won’t win Ohio. Baby, start the bus. UPDATE: CNN also says 98% of Iowa is in, and Bush has a 10,000 vote lead there. 82% of Nevada is in, with Bush leading by 15,000+ votes. Folks, that may be all she wrote. Ratherisms IVThis race is "cracking like a hickory fire." "if we all had side pockets, we'd carry a handgun" (?) Calls to mind that old song, "it's delightful, it's delicious, it's de-lovely" for President Bush. "Like a swan, every feather in place above the water, but below the water they are paddling like crazy worrying about ohio." November 02, 2004Ratherisms IIIRather has slacked off the Ratherisms over the last couple of hours. Here are three I've picked up. Feel free to put any others in the comments. The race is "coming along like Ray Charles" (?) "He's got his back to the wall and his shirttail's on fire." "John kerry needs something on the order of a 55- to 60-yard field goal to win this."
Posted by Bryan M at 11:53 PM
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2004: Not the Year of the Youth VoteThis was not the breakout year for young voters that some had anticipated. Fewer than one in 10 voters Tuesday were 18 to 24, about the same proportion of the electorate as in 2000, exit polls indicated. Still, with voter turnout expected to be higher overall, more young people appeared to have come out. Sooo ....… are we there yet? How you holding up? Michele’s brewing coffee, I just indulged in some mint chocolate chip ice cream, and we’re both digging in for the long haul. Although I gotta tell you … knowing that we may be waiting for FL and PA until Thursday … doens’t brighten my night, you know? I can see the folks in the chat are keeping active … but how are you holding up? Anything we can do to improve the coverage? Anything I can send over via special delivery? Some TriviaWe have no less than nine Presidential candidates on the ballot in MN this year. In addition to Kerry, Bush, and Nader, we have candidates from the Constitution Party (Michael Peroutka/Chuck Baldwin), the Green Party (David Cobb/Pat LaMarche), the Libertarian Party (Michael Badnarik/Richard Campagna), the Socialist Equality Party (Bill Van Auken/Jim Lawrence), the Socialist Workers Party (Róger Calero/Arrin Hawkins), and the Christian Freedom-Minnesota Party (Thomas Harens/Jennifer Ryan). Where did all these parties come from? By the way, so far I haven’t seen any results for anyone but Kerry, Bush, and Nader. This is either/both blatant discrimination on the part of television news, or cold-blooded realism. Ralph Nader was complaining on Fox News that the system is stacked against Progressives like him — but at least they bother to announce his vote totals! In Minnesota, we have same day registration for voting. As many as 20% of the Twin Cities metro area voters may have registered today. 8% of all voters told the exit pollsters they were voting for the first time. 77% of Minnesotans made up their minds over a month ago, 18% in the last month, 5% TODAY! Exit poll data from KMSP Fox 9 News, candidate data from here, plus personal observation of the ballot. Ratherisms II"Election night is swinging like Count Basie." "when John Kerry wrote Santa Claus, he said 'give me this state, please.'" re: Colorado "George Bush is sweeping through the midwest like a big combine." "Tacychardia inducing presidential race." CBS has been "on these returns like white on rice." 11 States Close At 9 ESTThey are: New York, Rhode Island, Louisiana, Minnesota, Nebraska, South Instapundit on WBIRJust saw Glenn Reynolds (a.k.a. Instapundit) on the local NBC station, WBIR, here in Knoxville. Just strange blogging about a blogger you are see on TV Fox implies very tight raceThe exit polls remain top secret information, so we aren’t hearing who is ahead, but Fox did inadvertently mention one interesting set of statistics. They imply a very tight race. 55% believe the country is safer from terrorist attack, 43% believe it is less safe. Bush received 78% of the votes of those feeling the country is safer, 12% of those feeling the country is less safe. .55*.78 + .12*.43 = .4290 + .0516 = .4806, round to 48%. Kerry received 20% of the votes of those feeling the country was safer from terrorist attack, 86% of the votes of those feeling the country was less safe. .20*.55 + .86*.43 = .1100 + .3698 = .4798, round to 48%. Of course, this doesn’t take account of the absentees, the early voters, or the two per cent who weren’t sure if the country was safer or less safe. My gut is that the absentees break for Bush, but who knows how the others go? 18 States Up at 8:00Alabama, Florida, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, But don’t expect results for them all … Another Sign Of The Impending Apocalypse“Blogs Send Stocks Lower On Talk Of Kerry Victory.” Let me guess … we’re responsible for OBL getting away at Tora Bora, too? Download Your Election Night Tote Sheet Here!Less than one hour to the returns and the fun is about to start … and we have everything you need for a great Election Day party here at our party pack … inlcuding a state-by-state wager sheet (person who calls the most states correctly wins), and printable G. W. Bush and J. Kerry masks. What’s an election, after all, without a wager? Sorry, Folks ... We Broke The InternetSeems the Internet is having a hell of a day. Our server at Hosting Matters, the greatest hosting service on the planet, has been absolutely ROCK SOLID all day. We did, however, burn through a ton of disk space today, and had a temporary interruption of service. They’ve got us upped to 3,000 Meg of disk space (yes, you read that correctly) now and we’re good. And for the curious: our bandwith this month? 30,665.88 Megabytes (yes … thirty thousand meg). Did I mention the tip jar over there in the right-hand column? Donations are welcome … Regardless, we should be solid throughout the night … so click early, and click often! First American to Vote For President From SpaceWith a key stroke, Astronaut Leroy Chiao became the first American to vote for president from space. According to the Associated Press:
Chiao’s vote was sent via secure e-mail connection to Mission Control in Houston and forwarded to the Galveston County clerk’s office in Texas, where Chiao normally resides. Zogby: There May Be Some SurprisesZogby’s web site is running this banner:
This is Zogby’s Electoral Vote summary: According to Zogby, it all coes down to two states: From California Yankee. Presidential Betting LineThis morning I noticed that the line had move a bit in Bush’s favor to Bush -$155 and Kerry +$125. Now it is back to where the line started yesterday morning - Bush -$165 and Kerry +$135 (meaning you would have to risk $165 on Bush to win $100 or risk just $100 to win $135 on Kerry). Yesterday the line dropped as low as Bush -$135 and Kerry +$105. I get the feeling that betting on a Bush win is as close to a sure thing as I’ll see for a long time. President Now In D.C.; Kerry In BostonThe candidates have returned to their respective corners, with the President in DC and Kerry in Boston for the rest of the night. They, like you, will be constantly checking Command Post for updates … Guam For Bush!Results from a straw poll taken during Guam elections, via Pacific Daily News. PRESIDENTIAL RACE Source: Guam Election Commission The Election Day Chat Room Is Open!We’ve opened the Command Post Chat for all your election day discourse … and in fact, we have set up five rooms you can join: General Chat, Republicans, Democrats, Nader, and Other Parties. Please note: The chat program does not always work well with Firefox. I suggest an alternate browser for Firefox users, either IE or Opera. We’ll be stopping in throughout the day to act as hosts and encourage friendly debate. We also ask that you remember the chat room rules: politeness and courtesy at all times. You will be asked to leave if you don’t follow that one simple guideline. Thanks, and have fun! Upload Your Election Day Photos!We’ve opened our Photo Gallery and all readers are welcome to upload their Election Day photos. Get artsy, get serious … but get that camera and live that photojournalism dream! You may upload, and see, photos here. They Jib, They Jab, We LaughThe Los Angeles Times covers the satirical web videos that helped keep us political junkies sane during this long, long campaign:
From California Yankee. Welcome; Thoughts On The DayGreetings, folks. Good morning if you’re in the States, good day if you’re in W. Europe or Africa, good afternoon and evening for points East, and good night Asia. There are few people, I think, who do not turn their face this morning, day, evening, and night toward America, and the choice we make this day. But it also strikes me that they look here not just to see the direction we will take to our future, but also to witness our process for doing so. Since my early teens there have been two days that have been true holidays for me: Independence Day and Election Day. For me the democratic process and the principles upon which it rests are deeply important. Today that process and those principles come to life, and as is the case with each electoral cycle, the world will watch not just because our next leader will affect the world, but because the exercise of self determination has brought freedom to millions and brings hope to millions more. So we are on display today, not just for who we choose, but for who we are. Choose with your conscience, but also choose knowing that, however dimmed by partisanship and troubled times, on Election Day America’s light still shines hope into the darkest corners of the world. Me … I’ll bathe in that light today, soaking it’s warmth as I cast my own ballot, and as I witness the incredible display of democratic principles taking form not just across America, but across this very page … as citizen journalists around the country make history in reporting this election to the world. Thank you for reading, and to our contributors, thank you for posting. And finally, to those millions who have sacrificed their most precious treasure to bring us to this point, thank you for your last full measure of devotion. When I rose this morning and considered the day ahead, these words came to mind: Fourscore and seven years ago our fathers brought forth on this continent a new nation, conceived in liberty and dedicated to the proposition that all men are created equal. Write-in Candidates: Way Out There
And he’s not the only “out there” candidate looking to get on write-in ballots. They insist that they’re not only wise to a host of government conspiracies but that they’ve been chosen, as if by an occult hand, to take over the country.— — — Just ask Sterling Allan, a 40-year-old hopeful from Utah. …. Randy Crow of Wilmington, N.C., argues that he’s the candidate hand-picked by God. Poll Closing Times6 p.m.: Indiana and Kentucky 7 p.m. Georgia, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia 7:30 p.m.: North Carolina, Ohio, West Virginia 8 p.m. Alabama, Florida, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas and the District of Columbia 8:30 p.m.: Arkansas 9 p.m.: New York, Rhode Island, Louisiana, Minnesota, Nebraska, South Dakota, Wisconsin, Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Wyoming 10 p.m.: Iowa, North Dakota, Idaho, Montana, Utah, Nevada 11 p.m.: California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii Networks Determined Not to Repeat 2000
November 01, 2004Election Day Weather ForecastIf you buy the old rule that weather hurts turnout (and thereby hurts challengers, and in this case, Kerry) it looks like Mother Nature might conspire to make tomorrow even more interesting: the forecast calls for rain in Seattle, Portland, Detroit, Cleveland, Indianapolis, Houston, New Orleans, Buffalo, Pittsburgh, nearly all of Ohio, and evening showers in Boston. Via a summary at Weather.com:
2 Judges Bar Party Challengers at Polls
Command Post Election Night Party PackHosting an election night party? If not, you should … after all, the democratic process, no matter how divisive the race, is still a celebration of freedom and self determination, and is just as worthy of group conviviality as is the Super Bowl or Oscars. But how do you ensure you have a star-spangled night as the returns come in? Command Post to the rescue! Host your friends, family … hell, even the opposition … with this Command Post Election 2004 Party Pack. And don’t forget to vote!
What to serve for dinner? If you’re having Republicans, we suggest:
And if you’re hosting Democrats:
Independent? Mix and match. Undecided? Pick with your eyes closed. But most of all, have fun, and exercise your right to vote! Voters Don't Believe in the SystemAFP is reporting that only 62 percent of US voters believe that their ballot will be counted and counted correctly. Nice. Another 22% said they were “somewhat confident” that their ballot would be counted correctly. The cornerstone of democracy, folks. The World's View on the U.S. ElectionThe BBC has collected statements from newspapers around the world giving their impression of the global impact of the the U.S. election.
Read the excerpts here. Expect Highest Turnout Since 1968Curtis Gans, an electoral expert, is on CNN TV forcasting a turnout higher than the 52% seein in 2000, and the highest since the election of 1968. He’s forecasting between 118 and 121 million votes cast tomorrow. What To Watch For Tomorrow NightVia friend and contributor NZ Bear I found a great roundup of “what to watch for on election night” over at Edison Media Research. Larry Rosin has some great tips, including this overview of how many electoral votes will be called at what times (all times Eastern):
If we presume a dead-heat race, the 270 EVs needed to win may not be met until 11 PM EST … and that presu |