The Command Post
2004 US Presidential Election: Iowa

November 03, 2004

Eastern Iowa Upset

The stunning upset in Eastern Iowa was for Iowa House District 80. Challenger Nathan Reichert defeated long-time Republican Representative Barry Brauns. Final Tally :

NATHAN REICHERT (D) 6,553 52%

BARRY BRAUNS ® 6,047 48%

And in Muscatine, Iowa the race for the County Board of Supervisors ended up with a one vote difference :

DYANN ROBY ® 8,705 50%

KAS KELLY (D) 8,704 50%

The provisional ballots will undoubtedly decide this squeaker. It does go to show that one vote does make a difference.

Posted by Buster at 11:32 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

2073 of 2079 (99%) Precincts

GEORGE W. BUSH ® (i) 741,325 50%

JOHN KERRY (D) 725,700 49%

What can I say? I was just plain wrong about this. I honestly thought Kerry was going to carry Iowa.

Posted by Buster at 06:59 AM | Comments (1) | TrackBack

Bush is leading in Iowa now! 88% Counted

I was paying attention to the percentage.. It was 82% 1000+ Kerry Vote Lead, 84% 785 Kerry Vote Lead, 86% 1365 Bush Vote Lead, 88% 2821 Bush Vote Lead, 89% 3529 Bush Vote Lead

This is a potential Bush state now.

Posted by ViriiK at 01:18 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

1463 of 2079 (70%) Precincts

JOHN KERRY (D) 602,431 50%

GEORGE W. BUSH ® (i) 582,965 49%

Posted by Buster at 12:24 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

November 02, 2004

1217 of 2079 (59%) Precincts

JOHN KERRY (D) 548,081 51%

GEORGE W. BUSH ® (i) 518,635 48%

I think it is safe to call Iowa for Kerry. There are about 300,000 more votes left to count, and I don’t see them falling all to Bush at the last minute.

Posted by Buster at 11:44 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

1077 of 2079 (52%) Precincts

JOHN KERRY (D) 519,160 51%

GEORGE W. BUSH ® (i) 487,302 48%

Senate :

CHARLES GRASSLEY ® (i) 648,980 68%

ARTHUR SMALL (D) 283,821 30%

Representative, Iowa First :

JIM NUSSLE ® (i) 126,990 54%

BILL GLUBA (D) 104,401 44%

Representative, Iowa Second :

JAMES LEACH ® (i) 106,201 59%

DAVE FRANKER (D) 70,357 39%

Posted by Buster at 11:35 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

979 of 2079 (47%) Precincts

JOHN KERRY (D) 487,504 51%

GEORGE W. BUSH ® (i) 456,600 48%

Posted by Buster at 11:27 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

873 of 2079 (42%) Precincts

JOHN KERRY (D) 438,188 52%

GEORGE W. BUSH ® (i) 406,336 48%

Posted by Buster at 11:20 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

430 of 2079 (21%) Precincts

JOHN KERRY (D) 225,553 51%

GEORGE W. BUSH ® (i) 213,329 48%

Posted by Buster at 11:01 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

329 of 2079 Precincts

JOHN KERRY (D) 186,275 51%

GEORGE W. BUSH ® (i) 172,104 47%

Posted by Buster at 10:55 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

275 of 2079 Precincts

JOHN KERRY (D) 172,332 51%

GEORGE W. BUSH ® (i) 158,826 47%

Posted by Buster at 10:52 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

168 of 2079 Precincts

JOHN KERRY (D) 123,646 52%

GEORGE W. BUSH ® (i) 112,196 47%

Posted by Buster at 10:45 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

83 of 2079

Kerry 54%

Bush 46%

Posted by Buster at 10:26 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

76 of 2079 Precincts

Kerry 54%

Bush 45%

Posted by Buster at 10:20 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

2 precincts reporting

Bush 64%

Kerry 35%

Posted by Buster at 10:15 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Blink and You Will Miss It

Posted by Buster - InMuscatine.com

Some Iowa County Auditors have announced the completion of Absentee vote counting. Votes were tabulated earlier in the day for the absentees, so preliminary figures should be available for SOME precincts near-immediately after the 9:00 p.m. poll closing.

Absentee voting is reported to be heavy, so I am of the impression Iowa will be called by 9:05 p.m. and be a memory by 9:15 unless something goes wrong.

Posted by Buster at 08:59 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

MoveOn Chased Away from Polling Places

Posted by Buster - InMuscatine

WOC-1420 AM during their 1:00 pm newscast reported MoveOn people were attempting to distribute flyers at Davenport, Iowa polling places. According to the report, they were “chased away”.

Posted by Buster at 02:08 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

MoveOn in Iowa

Posted by Buster - InMuscatine

From WOI TV, Des Moines :

DES MOINES, Iowa Auditors across the state are reporting volunteers with a liberal activists group are getting to close to polling places.

The Polk County and Linn County auditors say volunteers with Move On are approaching voters to find out if they support President Bush or Democrat John Kerry.

Posted by Buster at 01:18 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Latest Zogby Iowa Poll: 50% Kerry, 45% Bush

Just reported on MSNBC TV. It seems the polsters at Zogby are still working:

  • Kerry 50%
  • Bush 45%

Poll conducted through yesterday; 4.1% margin of error.

Note: this is NOT an exit poll … it’s a poll of likely voters completed through yesterday.

Posted by Alan at 12:37 PM | Comments (2) | TrackBack

Reaching

Posted by Buster - InMuscatine.com

I have heard about reaching across the aisle, but this is ridiculous :

DES MOINES, Iowa - Some Iowa voters have received automated campaign calls asking their support for an Indiana congressman who opposes tolls on the new Ohio River bridges.
Luke Clippinger, campaign manager for Democratic Congressman Baron Hill of Indiana, says central Iowa phone numbers were inadvertently included in a call list.

He says it’s not aimed at central Iowa, unless they want to build a new Ohio River bridge there.

Posted by Buster at 12:12 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Not-so-smart Move

Posted by Buster - InMuscatine.com

From KCRG TV, Cedar Rapids, Iowa

(Full disclosure : Steve Soboroff used to go by the “on-air” name of Steve Bridges at KWPC-AM/KFMH-FM in Muscatine, Iowa. He was also manager/part owner of those stations, and is no stranger to controversy. Further, calling Steve “popular” is a stretch. He is owner of KCJJ, a low-power AM station.)

An Eastern Iowa radio station has come under fire for a DJ’s comment about when Iowans should head to the polls. The DJ insists it was just a joke, but the Republican Party isn’t laughing.

Popular disc jockey Steve Soboroff, know as “Captain Steve” to his loyal listeners at KCJJ in Iowa City, never dreamed his little joke would get this far. Soboroff told his Monday morning audience due to the record amount of voters, Democrats will vote on Tuesday and Republicans on Wednesday Thursday and Friday. “It was said in jest, it was very apparent that it was said in jest. I also said that Republicans were charging 5 and a quarter at the polls for the pencils to fill in the ballots,” said a chuckling Soboroff.

It may have been intended as a joke, but the local Republicans think it could be damaging misinformation. “It shouldn’t be a laughing matter at all,” said Johnson County Republican Co-Chair Todd Versteegh.

The Johnson County Republicans have filed an ethics complaint with the state election board. They’re also investigating steps to file a complaint with the FCC and the Federal Election Commission. The republicans say they’re appalled, and believe the comment may have confused elderly voters. “This close to an election, this type of behavior should not be tolerated at all by either Republicans or Democrats,” said Versteegh.

The Republicans are also upset that Democratic County Supervisor Terrence Neuzil was on the air at the time. But Neuzil told TV9, Soboroff’s comment was obviously a joke.

Just to be clear, everyone; Democrats, Republicans and all others will all head to the polls Tuesday.

Posted by Buster at 10:51 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Mad Crush

Posted by Buster - InMuscatine.com

From the Des Moines Register :

County auditors’ offices in Iowa were under siege Monday, reporting lines of voters at the counters casting absentee ballots and calling on the phones with questions.

“It’s chaos,” said Linda Demry, the Appanoose County auditor. “People will come in and say, ‘I’ve never voted before - can you help me?’ “

In Lee County, Auditor Anne Pedersen said she’s never seen anything like it in her 21 years in office. On Monday, as soon as the auditor’s doors opened, the phones started ringing and residents arrived to cast absentee ballots.

On both sides, voters “have a very emotional feeling about their candidate,” Pedersen said. “They want to make sure their votes get cast and counted.”

Iowa Secretary of State Chet Culver predicted 1.4 million Iowans out of the 2.1 million registered will cast votes by the time polls close.

He urged Iowans to make sure they are voting in their correct precincts to lessen problems with provisional ballots, and said first-time voters may be asked for identification.

Anyone who is still in line by 9 p.m. is entitled to vote, Culver said, no matter how long it takes.

As of Oct. 25, the secretary of state’s office reported 287,037 absentee ballots returned out of 428,972 requested.

Posted by Buster at 09:56 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Fund Raising

From the Muscatine Journal (Warning : Link will go bad soon!)

MUSCATINE, Iowa - Although Muscatine County is distributed nearly even among registered Republicans and Democrats, it’s the Republican candidates who are getting most of the money.

Posted by Buster - InMuscatine.com

A review of Federal Election Commission (FEC) records shows approximately $164,139 in political contributions coming from donors in Muscatine County, 97 percent of which went to Republican candidates and groups. The figures are a sharp contrast to the overall state totals of 35.9 percent of contributions going to Democrat candidates and groups and 63.7 percent going to Republican candidates and groups. The figures were listed for the 2004 election cycle, covering the last two years.

Muscatine County has 9,960 registered Republicans, 7,717 registered Democrats and 11,106 registered Independents.

Posted by Buster at 09:19 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Absentee Voting

From the Quad-City Times :

Still, the intensity was high as a sharply divided Quad-Cities and a sharply divided nation prepared to go to the polls to elect a president for the first time since the contested election of 2000. Already, 25,000 people in Scott County had voted by absentee, more than a third of the total number who voted for president in the county four years ago.

And yet, the polls are still jammed with people. It will be an interesting day, and certainly history is being made.

Posted by Buster - InMuscatine.com

Posted by Buster at 09:13 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Morning in Iowa

One word description : Lines.

The sun is barely up but people are jamming the polling places of Eastern Iowa. Contrary to media reports, most of these people are NOT senior citizens. One thing is certain : Pollworkers are not going to die of boredom this day.

Posted by Buster at 08:45 AM | Comments (2) | TrackBack

November 01, 2004

Huge GOP Push In Iowa

MSNBC TV is reporting that the GOP / Bush campaign has made 250,000 phone calls and knocked on 220,000 doors in just the past 48 hours, and that that number may reach 500,000 by the time the polls open. In a state with only two million registered voters, this would mean nearly 1 of every 4 registered Iowans would have been contacted by the GOP.

Part of Karl Rove’s strategy is to win two states Gore carried in 2000 … and Iowa would be a prime candidate for doing so if this outreach effort bears fruit.

Both campaigns were in Iowa today … Bush is still there … and early voting has been under way for 30 days.

Come tomorrow, keep your eye on Iowa.

Posted by Alan at 05:10 PM | Comments (1) | TrackBack