2004 US Presidential Election
November 01, 2004
Montana | The "Big" Elections
It’s pretty much common knowledge that President Bush has a lock on Montana; it is solidly in the “red” column. But by how much? And what do the latest polls say about the gubernatorial race, and the Congressional seat? Find out here: Real Clear Politics (Montana-specific).
According to recent polls, President Bush enjoys a lead of anywhere between 18 and 28 points in Big Sky Country. And in the race for Governor, several polls indicate that Brian Schweitzer (D) is leading current Lt Gov Bob Brown ® by 4 to 15 points, which contradicts a poll that I heard on the radio last week that placed Brown well ahead of Schweitzer. And our sole US Representative, Denny Rehberg ®, is maintaining a huge lead over his challengers, Tracy Velazquez (D) and Mike Fellows (LP), by a margin of 35 to 40 points.
Bottom line: Montana is going to award 3 electoral votes to President Bush, and Congressman Rehberg will be re-elected. If you’re looking for a horse-race, keep your eyes on Bob Brown and Brian Schweitzer as they battle for the Top Job in Big Sky Country. (cross-posted at Big Sky Blog)
Posted by davidmsc at November 1, 2004 11:37 PM | TrackBack
I don’t know how it’ll play out, but Brown has had a devastating ad out with Schweitzer’s former employees, business partners and neighbors bashing him pretty badly.
Also, the latest flyer says he’s still got a gun in his truck rack. For what? He’s not ranching right now, is he? I don’t think he’s got time to hunt, either.
Finally, my daughter noticed very few Presidential stickers or signs, and the few were Kerry/Edwards. I taught her a new phrase- “foregone conclusion.”
Posted by: Dani at November 2, 2004 04:10 AM