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2004 US Presidential Election
November 01, 2004
Colorado | Final Colorado Poll Shows Bush, Salazar Leading
The results of the final ‘Survey USA’ poll of 622 likely voters (Colorado): President Senate Margin of error is +/- 4% Posted by Dave Bowdish at November 1, 2004 05:49 PM | TrackBack Comments
What interests me is that Bush had close to a 5 point lead in the polls in 2000 and still lost the popular vote. For example, he was up 10-15 points in the polls in Ohio in 2000, but only carried the state by a few percent. This year the polls are a tossup in the big three states (Ohio, Pa. and Fla.). If they break late towards Kerry because of high Democratic turnout (and I expect the turnout to be way up this year) then Kerry wins. Add to this the fact that Gallup says that 8 out of 9 undecideds (at this late stage) who vote, end up voting against the incumbent. Maybe its wishful thinking, but I am finally getting mildly optimistic that Kerry just might pull this off. Posted by: rdelephant Post a comment
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