The Command Post
2004 US Presidential Election
« Drudge's Siren: Pre-Election Terror? | Main | Political Human Sacrifice »
October 27, 2004
Polls | Um, About Those Late-Breaking Undecideds . . .

Rasmussen has the good news for President Bush:

Among voters who made up their minds in the Spring of 2004 or sooner, Kerry is favored by a 51% to 48% margin. This obviously includes some who decided to vote for anybody-but-Bush since 36% of voters made up their mind before the Democratic nominee was selected.

The candidates are essentially tied among those who made up their minds during the summer. However, those who decided in the past month favor President Bush by a 57% to 38% margin.

Our sample included 136 Likely Voters who made up their mind over the last week. These voters also appear to be breaking in the President’s direction but the small sample size prevents any definitive assessment.

There are very few undecided voters today. Those who have recently made their final decision are most likely firming up a choice for the candidate they have been leaning towards for some period of time.

At the moment, 93% of Bush voters are certain they won’t change their mind and 89% of Kerry voters say the same. Our daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows that just 2% of voters remain undecided at this time (many of whom may not vote).



Posted by Baseball Crank at October 27, 2004 02:14 PM | TrackBack
Comments

Pat Caddell, Carter’s erstwhile pollster, said essentially the same on Hannity and Colmes last night. Undecideds can break for the incumbent in Presidential races as a risk-management stratagem; the devil you know vs. the devil you don’t, if you will. (Not that I think the President is a devil; in the sense of the Apostle Peter’s writing, he is a saint.)

Steve Bragg
DOUBLE TOOTHPICKS—WORLDVIEWS Behind The NEWS

Posted by: Steve from DOUBLE TOOTHPICKS [TypeKey Profile Page] at October 27, 2004 02:45 PM

This doesn’t exactly square with Kerry’s momentum in the polls over the last month or so, unless he has been turning Bush voters straight to Kerry voters (and skipping the “undecided” middle man altogether).

Posted by: rdelephant [TypeKey Profile Page] at October 27, 2004 06:32 PM

May I suggest the undecided voter either is completely unaware of the political process or dead from the neck up?

There hasn’t been a clearer choice between opposite ends of the political spectrum since I was born.

More likely the undecided voter has attention-deficit disorder (as in “No one is paying attention to me!!!”) They want to be interviewed so they can explain their logic in not being able to choose between the right-wing nutball and the left-wing wimp. Imagine, someone asking you your opinion? How wonderful! How exciting!

I’ve found the best way to get them off the fence is to shoot them.

Posted by: torpedo_eight [TypeKey Profile Page] at October 27, 2004 08:22 PM

T-8, :)

Some phony sob stole the Bush sign out of my yard. Then I find out it’s happened all over town. WTF, losers. I notice the few Kerry/Edwards sign are not being tampered with. Besides the fact that it’s not our style to fuk with people’s property, the Kerry/Edwards signs tell us who is willing to spit in the faces of every Veteran, past, present, and future. I guess if these socialists want a classless society, they’re off to good start, cause a Kerry/Edwards sign in your yard is about as classless as you can get.

Posted by: No Party [TypeKey Profile Page] at October 27, 2004 11:58 PM

Post a comment

Thanks for signing in, . Now you can comment. (Click here should you choose to sign out.)

As you post your comment, please mind our simple comment policy: we welcome all perspectives, but require that comments be both civil and respectful. We also ask that you avoid the extensive use of profanity, racist terms (neither of which we consider civil or respectful), and other boorish language.

We reserve the right to delete any comment, and to prohibit you from commenting on this site, if we feel you have broached this policy. As a courtesy, we will first send you an email noting a violation so you understand the boundaries. This will occur only once, however, and should we ban you from our comment forums we expect that ban to be permanent.

We also will frown upon those who suggest that we ban other individuals for voicing unpopular opinions, should those opinions be voiced in a civil and respectful manner. The point of our comment threads is to provide a forum for spirited though civil and respectful discourse … it is not to provide a forum in which everyone will agree with your point of view.

If you can live by these rules, welcome aboard. If not, then we’re sorry it didn’t work out, and thanks for visiting The Command Post.


Remember me?

(You may use HTML tags for style)