The Command Post
2004 US Presidential Election
« Text of Sen. Kerry's Radio Address (9/11) | Main | Newsweek Reports Bush’s Lead Narrowing »
September 11, 2004
| The Bounce Lives

New Time poll:

Last week’s seismic voter shift to George W. Bush showed no signs of dwindling in this week’s Time Poll. Bush continues to lead Democratic challenger John Kerry among likely voters by double digits, 52% - 41%, in the three way race, with Nader at 3%, the same as last week.

[…]

Even more damaging to Kerry is that Bush now has a 6 point lead on handling of the economy, 50% - 44%. Just one month ago, Kerry had the edge, 51% - 42%.

Read more…

[Via Instapundit]



Posted by Michele at September 11, 2004 03:59 PM | TrackBack
Comments

When poll numbers go up and stay up, it’s not a bounce.

Posted by: Clyde McKenney [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 11, 2004 05:56 PM

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm

Rasmussen shows it within one, as do far many more (repsected and not having massive weighting errors) pollers.

Posted by: Lakhim [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 11, 2004 07:04 PM

Lakhim,

Please share these pols with us. Or do you need a magic hat to see them?

Posted by: jones [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 11, 2004 08:27 PM

A consistent measurement from one week to the next within the measurement error reduces the probability that last week’s poll was an “outlier”.

This is not a bounce. This is a shift.

Posted by: Max Darkside [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 11, 2004 09:16 PM

Lakhim is right to a certain agree. Go to Pollingreport.com and see the line up of the various polls over several weeks.

The more troubling news, though is the trends behind the numbers. Rasmussen continues to show a tight race, though with Bush in the nominal lead for the past three weeks or so.

For example, a simple read of Rasmussen’s Battleground polls of 16 selected battleground states would on the surface comfort the anxieties of the Kerry supporters. Unless you see that the overwhelming number of states in this battleground report by Rasmussen contains a overwhelming number of states that are normally traiditionally pro-Kerry. Now one has to wonder why they are so close when Kerry should be opening up double digit leads.

Posted by: steve [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 11, 2004 11:32 PM

Bush should win the election. He is the “man in charge.” Thoughout the 9.11 crisis he has the “man” to lead the U.S.A. though some of the worst times that it has ever exerienced. Even though he has reduced the American dream to nothing, he is still the man in charge. So the advantage is with him not with kerry.

Posted by: Dream [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 12, 2004 02:05 AM

Rasmussen shows it within one, as do far many more (repsected and not having massive weighting errors) pollers.

Posted by: Lakhim at September 11, 2004 07:04 PM
*****************************************
Check Rasmussen today. Its Bush 48 and Kerry 45

Posted by: Dan Kauffman [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 12, 2004 02:38 PM

I don’t have to have that MAGIC HAT that Lakhim is wearing…..I smell the stink of a loser on Kerry, and all the rats are circling; yelling at him to get up and be a man…..you girlie man!! ha ha ha

Carville and Bogala are so hated, Kerry will lose for sure now. And with Dan Rather ‘forging’ ahead, Bush can sit back and watch the dems self destruct! I like McAuliffe’s explanation, that Karl Rove put out the fakes!!! ha ha ha ha Good one Terry, now go back into your rat hole ya loser!

Posted by: dickmr [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 12, 2004 03:19 PM

Post a comment

Thanks for signing in, . Now you can comment. (Click here should you choose to sign out.)

As you post your comment, please mind our simple comment policy: we welcome all perspectives, but require that comments be both civil and respectful. We also ask that you avoid the extensive use of profanity, racist terms (neither of which we consider civil or respectful), and other boorish language.

We reserve the right to delete any comment, and to prohibit you from commenting on this site, if we feel you have broached this policy. As a courtesy, we will first send you an email noting a violation so you understand the boundaries. This will occur only once, however, and should we ban you from our comment forums we expect that ban to be permanent.

We also will frown upon those who suggest that we ban other individuals for voicing unpopular opinions, should those opinions be voiced in a civil and respectful manner. The point of our comment threads is to provide a forum for spirited though civil and respectful discourse … it is not to provide a forum in which everyone will agree with your point of view.

If you can live by these rules, welcome aboard. If not, then we’re sorry it didn’t work out, and thanks for visiting The Command Post.


Remember me?

(You may use HTML tags for style)