The Command Post
2004 US Presidential Election
« 250 Arrested In NYC Bike Protest | Main | Edwards' Legal and Political Record »
August 28, 2004
Bush | Poll: Many Democrats in Florida may vote for Bush

the Tallahassee Democrat reports that a new poll found 11 percent of Democrats willing to vote for Bush on Nov. 2, compared to just 5 percent of Republicans who said they would cross over for Kerry. According to the Tallahassee Democrat:

And while only 18 percent of Democrats consider themselves conservative, more than one-third of conservative Democrats said they will vote for Bush.

From California Yankee.



Posted by Dan Spencer at August 28, 2004 09:40 AM | TrackBack
Comments

Lemee see here:

Let’s say that “over one third” of conservative D’s is 40%. Arbitrary, but OK by me. It’s probably really less than that, otherwise they’d report 40%, and not “over one third.”

So, if we take 40% of 18%, that’s what - about 5.2% or thereabouts? Not a bad fall-off, seems to me. Given the rise of the erstwhile “Reagan Democrats” — those who are registered D’s but vote as R’s, that percentage seems even a little small when compared to past elections.

These reports are about what you’d expect, and a bit less than results in past elections.

No problem with it from here.

Posted by: Don [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 28, 2004 02:55 PM

7.2% — not 5.2%.

Damned bifocals anyway.

Point stays the same, though.

Posted by: Don [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 28, 2004 02:56 PM

Well that is the good news Don.

The bad news is that some polls now show California in play. That cannot be good.

—==—

Steal this sig:

There is a big difference between William Calley and John Kerry. William Calley is a proven war criminal. For John Kerry we only have his word as an officer and a gentleman.

What is the War Hero Afraid of?
Form 180. Release ALL the records.

The Ads: Video links

Posted by: M. Simon [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 28, 2004 06:29 PM

California in play? California? The state that, more than any other, the Democrats have come to regard as their own private preserve?

I guess the real question about this election may soon be not whether Kerry will win or lose, but whether the necktie party for Terry McAuliffe will be held before or after the election.

Posted by: Joe [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 28, 2004 10:37 PM

Good one Joe. And it couldnt happen to a more deserving slime ball. McAulliffe started it all by saying Bush was AWOL….the liberals will crucify him for that, after it is revealed that is what caused Kerry’s destruction!! It was probably his idea to present Kerry and dems as ‘strong’ in military undertakings…..never a democrat strong point….with their wimpy ‘sensitive’ attitudes. The only question remaining is how often Hanoi John will be screeching ‘Bring it ON!’ ….. ha ha ha

Posted by: dickmr [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 29, 2004 03:23 AM

Ohferpete’ssakes.

Just about everywhere is in play, save for those states with huge registration edges. Always has been, since the start.

The base vote is now nailed down entirely. It isn’t going to move. It may now safely be ignored for the duration of the campaign.

The swing vote is volatile — can move 4-5 points one way or another within a short time, then move back the other direction a short time later.

Don’t be surprised that anywhere is “in play.”

Posted by: Don [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 29, 2004 11:37 AM

Post a comment

Thanks for signing in, . Now you can comment. (Click here should you choose to sign out.)

As you post your comment, please mind our simple comment policy: we welcome all perspectives, but require that comments be both civil and respectful. We also ask that you avoid the extensive use of profanity, racist terms (neither of which we consider civil or respectful), and other boorish language.

We reserve the right to delete any comment, and to prohibit you from commenting on this site, if we feel you have broached this policy. As a courtesy, we will first send you an email noting a violation so you understand the boundaries. This will occur only once, however, and should we ban you from our comment forums we expect that ban to be permanent.

We also will frown upon those who suggest that we ban other individuals for voicing unpopular opinions, should those opinions be voiced in a civil and respectful manner. The point of our comment threads is to provide a forum for spirited though civil and respectful discourse … it is not to provide a forum in which everyone will agree with your point of view.

If you can live by these rules, welcome aboard. If not, then we’re sorry it didn’t work out, and thanks for visiting The Command Post.


Remember me?

(You may use HTML tags for style)