The Command Post
2004 US Presidential Election
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May 30, 2004
| Bush Loss Not Kerry's Gain

The Times Picayune reports that while Bush’s favorability ratings are at their lowest point ever, that disaffection is not translating into polling increases for Kerry … a sign of deep ideological entrenchment among GOP voters.



Posted by Alan at May 30, 2004 08:25 AM | TrackBack
Comments

The trick is to learn to understand Trending.

Folks who have been supporters of one candidate do not immediately switch to the other. They go through a process first.

They appear to be doing precisely that, at the moment.

But to get this in a real perspective, scarce a year ago, right here on this blog, the RR types were predicting a Massive Sweep and Landslide by Dubya over whomever the Ds nominated. It wasn’t even going to be Close.

Remember that?

Revisit the archives, and you can find it.

Not quite how it worked out, is it?

This thing has some months to run yet. Don’t make Any assumptions about the outcome — it’s Very much up in the air.

Posted by: Don at May 30, 2004 06:44 PM

There’s an alternative explanation. Many who support the war as the right thing to do - both for humanitarian reasons AND as the best way to change the dynamic of the terrorists attack, are disappointed at the way GWB has given in to the leftist propaganda and is altering his course to comply with their demnds even though it lessens the impact and likihood of victory. In short, those newly unhappy folks are not necessarily looking for Kerry, who is even worse, but longing for a stronger leader who see the original plan through to victory.

Posted by: Murrel at May 31, 2004 11:58 PM

It is my belief that you will need a young appealling Vice President Candidate that can garner votes in both the midwest and South. That candidate would be John Edwards. I live in California, and I am a minority voter. With any other candidate I can not support what would become a losing effort from the beginning. His youthfullness, good looks, great speaker will certainly lure women voters. That same characteristic will appeal to both minority and southern voters.

Hope you give this consideration for a winning election.

Posted by: Christopher Coleman at July 5, 2004 08:33 PM

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