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2004 US Presidential Election
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March 23, 2004
| Rasmussen Tips To Bush

While pollsters like John Zogby have the presidential race either dead even or slightly favoring President Bush in a three-way race, the Rasmussen Report says Bush continues to build a lead over Sen. John Kerry even without Ralph Nader factored in.

As of yesterday, Rasmussen has it 48-45 Bush. In a week, Bush picked up four percent while Kerry lost a tick. (Kerry also jumped four points from his March 18 low of 43 percent.)

“Some Other Candidate” - they don’t ask respondents if they support Nader by name - gets 4 percent.

Rasmussen breaks it down further:

Forty-eight percent (48%) of Americans say that Bush is a better leader than Kerry while 33% take the opposite view.

Among those who use the Internet on a regular basis (several times a week or more), 50% say they will vote for Bush while 42% pick Kerry. Among those who are not on-line regularly, Kerry is favored 48% to 44%.

(Cross-posted at Late Final.)



Posted by latefinal at March 23, 2004 04:59 AM | TrackBack
Comments

I really miss election projections
http://www.electionprojection.com/elections2004.html
He did an analysis by electorial votes not just raw percentages.

But after his parents were killed in Iraq I can understand why he needs some time of. ;-(

Posted by: Dan Kauffman at March 23, 2004 08:21 AM

That internet disparity is interesting. Is it just because of the education/income difference, or is part of it because people who rely on TV, newspapers and magaizines see more of an anti-Bush spin than those who can look up news at the sites of their choosing?

Posted by: samuelv at March 23, 2004 09:33 AM

You could also ask, is it because lonely losers on the ‘net support the brutal Bush ‘regime’? Or is it because those suffering from the lack of Universal DSL are stuck on dial-up and didn’t get the phone call?

These polls, I feel, have the tiniest relevance to what will happen, and why. “Hi, I’ve got your phone number. You have no idea who I really am. You have no idea what I’m going to use your answer for, but this is certainly not an election. Kerry or Bush?”

The polls are used as weapons by the leading side (“join the bandwagon!”), the trailing side (“don’t be disenfranchised!”), and the true beneficiaries: the media. “Hey, you don’t want to lose and/or lose your lead, do you? Pony up the advertising dough!”

Posted by: Xav at March 23, 2004 11:42 AM

Dan,

Election projection posted today. He says he will return when ready.

Posted by: jones at March 23, 2004 01:37 PM

Xav wrote:
“…lonely losers on the ‘net…”

Including yourself in that?

I agree with Xav that most polls at this point are just to give the media things to fill up their reports with. IMHO he’s wrong about phone interviews being automatically biased; we can argue whether the numbers are being interpreted correctly, but whether a particular poll is reflective of the larger population is a statistical issue, not a political one (although the phrasing of particular questions can change the %s somewhat). Were phone polling as off as he implies, its doubtful that method would be used as much as it is: companies which deliver faulty results to their customers tend to go out of business.

Posted by: tagryn at March 23, 2004 06:06 PM

Tagryn said, “Were phone polling as off as he implies, its doubtful that method would be used as much as it is: companies which deliver faulty results to their customers tend to go out of business.”

This is different. The liberal media gives their man an advantage that no polititian could afford to ‘buy’.
Why would Kerry be mad because the media showed him 5 points behind Bush…..when he was actually 30 points behind? Bush can get mad, but he’s still got to spend on advertising or the media will just flat run over him. Then the people he pays, turn right around and try to sabotage him. Sucks, huh?

I hope Bush can find other, as effective, means than the liberal media. It would really piss a guy off everytime he wrote a check to a—wipes like CNN, etc.

Posted by: Jeff B at March 23, 2004 07:39 PM

JB, point scored. nice.

Posted by: j at March 23, 2004 10:50 PM

other that to tell Xav to go jerk off somewhere else,

I’d say the internet people are much more informed and can get much less slanted news and see what really going on. We see the looney left sites, and well, what can you expect from them but the same lies their favorite guy uses. Where you can also get a better feel for whats going on in the world, not slanted by the media; You can read whats really going on in the nation, instead of what is hidden by the slanted media. Bush is the bettr man, it’s quite clear.
Shit heads like Xav just run around all the sits spewing their same old evil bush BS which has no merit, which further makes you ask yourself, who wants a government that represents those idiots?

Posted by: Fat Guy at March 26, 2004 02:24 AM

The Rasmussen Report has about one of the most bogus polling results I’ve ever seen. They tend to lean heavily towards Bush, when at the same time, Gallup and other polls show Senator Kerry in the lead.

Rassmussen is BOGUS.

Posted by: ArmyVet at April 16, 2004 12:25 AM

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