The Command Post
2004 US Presidential Election
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February 08, 2004
| Election Projection Has Bush Lead Waning

One of the several bloggers who uses an analytic method to project the electoral outcome, The Blogging Caesar, has his latest projection up here. He notes:

John Kerry’s high tide has washed away almost all Bush’s prior advantage. Election Projection now shows Bush leading the Democrat by a scant 0.38%, 49.69% to 49.31%, in popular vote percentage and only 290-248 in electoral votes. The President has lost Wisconsin, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Maine (district 2), and Minnesota since the last update.

If the President loses just a little more ground, we’ll be right back where we started after the election in 2000. Bush leads Iowa now by only 1.1%, and New Mexico is practically tied. Interestingly, since I give Ralph Nader’s votes to the Democrat, Bush’s lead in New Hampshire is actually less than in Iowa. He leads there by only 1.0%.



Posted by Alan at February 8, 2004 06:13 PM | TrackBack
Comments

Not bad, GWB is winning against John Kerry and he hasn’t even begun campaigning yet. I doubt this study was conducted post ‘Meet the Depressed’ meeting.

Posted by: Jeff MacMillan at February 8, 2004 08:55 PM

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