The Command Post
2004 US Presidential Election
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February 03, 2004
| Edwards way ahead in SC, winning OK?!

[Cross-posted (with a little more editorializing) on BrendanLoy.com]

Early exit-poll numbers from the National Review Online (via Drudge) show a major upset possibly in the making in Oklahoma… and a major disaster for Lieberman in Delaware:

AZ: Kerry 46, Clark 24, Dean 13
MO: Kerry 52, Edwards 23, Dean 10
SC: Edwards 44, Kerry 30, Sharpton 10
OK: Edwards 31, Kerry 29, Clark 28
DE: Kerry 47, Dean 14, Lieberman 11, Edwards 11

Of course, a two-point lead in unofficial, mid-afternoon exit polls probably means squat, statistically… Oklahoma is basically a three-way tie right now. But the fact that Edwards is in the thick of things is very good news for him, given that the Sooner State was, until the polls narrowed in the last couple of days, basically a Kerry-Clark race with Edwards a fairly strong but significantly behind third.

If the South Carolina numbers hold — a 14-point lead over Kerry (now that could mean something) — and if Edwards can eke out the Oklahoma victory over Kerry and Clark, then man oh man, this could become a race. My Kerry vs. Edwards scenario may yet happen!

Meanwhile, barring an incredible late-afternoon and early-evening surge of Liebermania at the polls, it looks like all semblance of Joe-mentum has been derailed, and Lieberman is very probably finished.



Posted by Brendan at February 3, 2004 02:33 PM | TrackBack
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