The Command Post
2004 US Presidential Election
February 03, 2004
Command Post 2004 Polls | A Tale of Two Polls
Tonight's primary vote will also help us to properly assess Zogby's habit of factoring in "leaners". I am skeptical of this practice myself, but time will be the judge. Below are two polls, one is from ARG which doesn't assign undecideds to one camp or the other. The other is from Zogby, who has completely eliminated the undecided category by asking people which way they lean. I think this gives a false image of the electorate ... but who am I.

The Latest ARG Poll. Does not factor in "leaners."
arg203.gif

The Latest Zogby Poll. Does factor in "leaners."

Primary Tracking
02-03-04


AZ
MO
OK
SC
Kerry
42
56
29
32
Dean
15
9
6
8
Edwards
7
17
26
36
Clark
28
6
31
8
Lieberman
6
3
6
5
Kucinich
1
0.1
0.1
0.1
Sharpton
0
4
1
8
Undecided
*
*
*
*

May not add up to 100%, due to rounding
In today’s release, Leaners among the Undecideds have been factored in. *Undecideds have been eliminated in the Final percentage.
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Posted by Mike Van Winkle at February 3, 2004 09:25 AM | TrackBack
Comments

I’m with you. I think counting out the undecided not gives the polls a skewed count. Also, many undecideds don’t determine who they will vote for until they get into the voting booth. “Leaning” is really a euphemism for “don’t know” anyhow.

Posted by: admin at February 3, 2004 09:36 AM

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