The Command Post
2004 US Presidential Election
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January 09, 2004
| Latest Iowa Poll Shows Statistical Deadheat

The latest Iowa numbers are out and it looks like a statistical deadheat between Dean and Gephardt. Dean is polling 29% and Gephardt 25%, with a margin of error of 5%. Surprisingly John Kerry is still polling well, holding on at about 18%.

Remember, polling for the Iowa Caucuses is always a little tricky. The nature of the caucus is such a different beast than the polling booth, that ordinary surveys would seem to have a hard time estimating how it will turn out. Voters have no privacy and can be persuaded on the spot to switch votes. It will be an interesting study to compare the actual result with all these poll numbers.

Source:Research 2000/KCCI-TV Poll January 5th - 7th



Posted by Mike Van Winkle at January 9, 2004 01:24 PM | TrackBack
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